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#比特币流动性 Bitcoin Short-Term Trend Analysis and Trading Strategies
Today at noon, BTC is quoted around 88,799.9. It surged to 89,432 in the morning but faced resistance and pulled back, then dropped again to 86,824 seeking support. The overall rhythm this morning was a rise followed by consolidation, a typical pattern after a rapid increase.
Focus should be on the support levels. 88,500-88,700 is a key short-term support zone. If this area is broken, the next line of defense is at 88,000. The resistance on the rebound is significant; 89,000-89,200 is the first resistance, and around 89,400 is a strong barrier. Breaking through requires increased volume.
From the market perspective, the 23.6 billion options expiration has just occurred, gradually releasing previous selling pressure. However, the dilemma in recent days is that funds are generally on the sidelines, with no new capital entering the market. After the bulls pushed prices higher, profit-taking selling pressure became evident, lacking sustained upward momentum.
Based on this situation, here are two trading ideas: First, if the price stabilizes around 88,500-88,700 after a pullback, consider going long with a stop loss below 88,000, targeting the 89,000-89,400 range. Second, if a rebound to 89,000-89,200 encounters resistance, try shorting with a stop loss above 89,500, aiming for the 88,500-88,700 zone.
Overall, the midday trend is likely to fluctuate within the 88,500-89,200 range. Taking some profits at higher levels and adding positions at lower levels can capture this wave's opportunity.
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Once again, profit-taking sells and lack of momentum, in simple terms, means the consensus is breaking down.
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Is it really possible to keep earning by repeatedly buying in the 88 to 89 range? Ha, history always loves to play tricks on people like this.
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The fact that options settlement is coming into effect actually makes people more uneasy. This is not good news; it’s the moment when the truth is forced to surface.
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The real key point is that there’s no new capital entering the market. No one is willing to pour more money in anymore.
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The bulls are already out of strength, which can be seen from the market chart. Breakout with volume? Where’s the volume coming from?
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Talking about operational strategies at this point in the cycle... I’d rather do nothing and wait for the market to truly cool down.
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Those who endure this waiting period are the ones who truly survive.