2025-12-27 12:20:17

#数字资产市场动态 The Federal Reserve's big move is here. By 2025, the total liquidity injection will exceed 120 billion, and yesterday they injected another 2.5 billion in overnight repos, with MBS collateral making up the majority (85.5%). Coupled with three rate cuts totaling 75 basis points this year, the interest rate now remains steady at 3.5%-3.75%.

The logic behind this is clear—paving the way for easing policies in 2026. Many institutions are predicting another 2-3 rate cuts next year, possibly reducing rates by another 50-75 basis points. The Trump administration is also promoting the goal of "high liquidity," and such signals are still pushing the crypto asset market.

The market's actual response makes this very clear. On the day of the rate cut in December, BTC surged briefly, ZEC saw a maximum increase of 17.99% in the past 30 days, the US stock Dow Jones Industrial Average rose over 1%, and the US dollar index hit a new low for the month. Capital flows are very straightforward.

However, risks cannot be ignored. Core PCE remains at 2.9%, still above the Fed's target, and seven Fed officials oppose further rate cuts in 2026. Such disagreements can easily intensify market volatility.

From a trading perspective, the key points to watch are whether the repo scale will continue to exceed 2.5 billion and the direction of the FOMC dot plot in January. In the early stages, small positions can be used to track liquidity performance, but avoid blindly chasing highs. $BTC, $ZEC and these cryptocurrencies still depend on policy pace and capital flow coordination in the short term.

BTC0,29%

ZEC9,98%

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ShortingEnthusiast

· 21h ago

120 billion liquidity injection, this pace is really a bit rapid... But with such strong opposition within the Federal Reserve, it seems like there might be repeated adjustments later on. --- ZEC rose 17.99%, there is indeed something there, just worried that if short-term funds turn around, it could drop immediately. --- Not to mention anything else, small position tracking is always better than blindly going all-in. In our line of work, we have to survive to see the next wave. --- Let's wait for the FOMC dot plot in January, that's the real key... Betting now is too early. --- Core PCE is still at 2.9%, the reason the Fed can't cut rates is actually quite tricky, don't be fooled by the surface-level liquidity injection. --- Interest rates at 3.5%-3.75%, frankly, are still tight, don't be fooled. --- MBS accounts for 85.5%, it seems they are really piling money into the liquidity market, crypto is just the splash of water.

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FancyResearchLab

· 21h ago

Talking again about loose policies saving the coin price. Theoretically, it should work, but PCE is still stuck at 2.9%. The Federal Reserve is even arguing internally. Now everyone is well-versed.

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VitaliksTwin

· 21h ago

The Fed's recent actions are indeed paving the way, but I'm more concerned about the dissenting votes from those 7 officials—that's the real variable.

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tx_or_didn't_happen

· 21h ago

$120 billion liquidity infusion, the Federal Reserve's move... Looks like 2026 will really be a year of self-expression. --- ZEC up 17 points? Sure, I believe it, but the real question is when the next $2.5 billion buyback will happen—that's the key. --- PCE is still stuck at 2.9%. The Fed is fighting internally, and how long this market can hold up is really uncertain. --- I saw Bitcoin surge, but tracking small positions is really crucial. Don't get too excited and go all-in. --- The dollar hitting a new low, the Dow up 1%... This combo is definitely injecting blood into the crypto world. If rate cuts are implemented next year, it will get even crazier. --- Only after the FOMC dot plot is released do we know how loose or tight the policy is. Anything said now is premature. --- January data is important. Whether the buyback scale can break through $2.5 billion will determine the future momentum. --- Seven officials oppose further rate cuts next year? Well... this disagreement will eventually reflect in the prices. --- Fund flow is obvious, right? But don’t be fooled by short-term spikes. The rhythm is very important. --- Trump's "high liquidity" really seems to be giving the crypto circle a drug overdose.

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ser_we_are_early

· 21h ago

The Fed's recent move is indeed aggressive, with 120 billion in liquidity injections paving the way until 2026. The sense of rhythm is still there. However, I am more concerned about the voices of the 7 officials who oppose it; such internal disagreements are most likely to cause a market sell-off. It is wise for Xiaocang to monitor trading volume closely; don't be fooled by short-term gains. The 18% increase in ZEC looks comfortable but also has many traps. We still need to wait for the FOMC chart to come out before making a judgment.

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