Bitcoin's correction cycles show a predictable pattern worth tracking. Based on market data, pullbacks from local peaks typically range 30-40 days before finding a bottom. We're currently around day 35 into this cycle—right in the window where things could stabilize or extend further.

Historically, corrections have been shaped by specific events. The 2024 yen carry trade unwind caught many off-guard, creating sharp selloffs. Now in 2025, tariff concerns are weighing on sentiment, adding another layer of uncertainty to the recovery timeline.

The question isn't whether we bottom—it's when. If the pattern holds, we're close to the decision point. Market catalysts could accelerate or delay the process, so positioning matters more than perfect timing.