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Ethereum DeFi dominance and the derivatives dilemma: Why strong fundamentals can't support the price?
【Crypto World】Ethereum’s price has indeed shown little movement recently, but its dominance on the chain remains strong. 68% of the total locked value in DeFi is captured by Ethereum. If its Layer 2 networks are spun off, this number could surpass 70%.
Institutional enthusiasm for ETH remains high. Tom Lee’s Bitmine has staked 74,880 ETH, worth $219 million, clearly optimistic about the future. However, some institutions like SharpLink Gaming are engaging in strategic redemptions, choosing to lock in gains.
Where is the problem? The derivatives market. The leverage ratio has hit a new high—nearly $5 in futures for every $1 of spot ETH. What does this mean? Binance predicts that by 2025, ETH futures trading volume will exceed $6.7 trillion. This excessive leverage directly suppresses spot prices, causing market volatility to become completely disconnected from fundamentals. Prices that should be supported by fundamentals are instead being pushed down by leverage risks in the derivatives market.