Institutions and retail investors alike have suffered losses in this round of panic selling. The market opened with a sharp plunge, with the Nasdaq and Bitcoin nearly dropping simultaneously, and the community was filled with lamentations. But honestly, blaming this decline simply on a "black swan" event is a bit superficial. My view is different—this is not an unexpected incident at all, but a long- brewing liquidity crisis.
Imagine three "pumping machines" operating simultaneously, draining all the blood from the market, leaving no asset unscathed.
**First Punch: Crazy Capital Inflows into the Treasury Market**
After the government rebooted, it directly issued $163 billion in Treasury bonds. Don’t think of this just as borrowing money; in reality, it’s a hard extraction of a large amount of liquidity from the market. Once this money enters the Treasury market, sectors like stocks and crypto, which rely on hot money, start to run out of blood. This isn’t some conspiracy; it’s the basic logic of capital flow. With risk-free returns in front of them, who would still be willing to gamble on that virtual stuff?
**Second Punch: The Federal Reserve Suddenly Changes Course**
Previously, the market was hoping for rate cuts to rescue the economy, but the Fed came out with "no rush to cut rates." This statement’s impact is more powerful than most people think. Leverage funds, hearing this, turn around and run, and the panic of chain liquidations doubles the decline. Looking at the liquidation data makes it clear—recently, the crypto market experienced a staggering amount of liquidations, with $19.2 billion wiped out on October 11 alone. This isn’t just emotional volatility; it’s real capital panic.
**Third Punch: Bank Liquidity Is Also Shrinking**
The overnight borrowing rate in the interbank market has soared, indicating that the financial system itself is under stress. When the entire system is waterless, risk assets are the first to be thrown out. Once a liquidity crisis is triggered, no asset can remain unscathed.
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LiquidityLarry
· 21h ago
Damn, I was also there on the day of the 19.2 billion liquidation. It felt like the entire market was being pressed down, like someone was pushing my head underwater, with really no chance to breathe.
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gas_fee_therapy
· 21h ago
Government bonds, the Federal Reserve, and interbank lending rates are all working together; indeed, nothing can really stop them. This time, it's not an emotional issue; it's that the money is truly gone.
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NFTRegretDiary
· 21h ago
All three pumps are running together; no one can escape. This time, there's really nowhere to hide.
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ContractHunter
· 21h ago
Damn, three water pumps running together, the market really can't survive. But to be honest, the fact that government bonds are attracting funds should have been obvious long ago. Who's to blame?
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192 billion liquidation in one day? That number is outrageous. It feels like leverage traders really have no way out this time.
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The Federal Reserve's comment "no rush" directly killed all illusions. It’s time to accept reality.
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The framework of a liquidity crisis is well explained, but who the hell knows where the market bottom is?
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And then there's talk of black swans—it's obvious that no one wanted to take umbrellas before the heavy rain.
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The surge in interbank lending rates is truly a signal, indicating that the system itself is sick.
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A bunch of people are still bottom-fishing. I feel nervous just watching them. This is just the beginning.
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The 163 billion in government bonds is just the appetizer; there’s more to come.
View OriginalReply0
LayerZeroHero
· 21h ago
It has proven that the $19.2 billion single-day liquidation is the best technical validation in itself. Once the liquidity architecture collapses, the entire cross-chain ecosystem will have to be sacrificed.
Institutions and retail investors alike have suffered losses in this round of panic selling. The market opened with a sharp plunge, with the Nasdaq and Bitcoin nearly dropping simultaneously, and the community was filled with lamentations. But honestly, blaming this decline simply on a "black swan" event is a bit superficial. My view is different—this is not an unexpected incident at all, but a long- brewing liquidity crisis.
Imagine three "pumping machines" operating simultaneously, draining all the blood from the market, leaving no asset unscathed.
**First Punch: Crazy Capital Inflows into the Treasury Market**
After the government rebooted, it directly issued $163 billion in Treasury bonds. Don’t think of this just as borrowing money; in reality, it’s a hard extraction of a large amount of liquidity from the market. Once this money enters the Treasury market, sectors like stocks and crypto, which rely on hot money, start to run out of blood. This isn’t some conspiracy; it’s the basic logic of capital flow. With risk-free returns in front of them, who would still be willing to gamble on that virtual stuff?
**Second Punch: The Federal Reserve Suddenly Changes Course**
Previously, the market was hoping for rate cuts to rescue the economy, but the Fed came out with "no rush to cut rates." This statement’s impact is more powerful than most people think. Leverage funds, hearing this, turn around and run, and the panic of chain liquidations doubles the decline. Looking at the liquidation data makes it clear—recently, the crypto market experienced a staggering amount of liquidations, with $19.2 billion wiped out on October 11 alone. This isn’t just emotional volatility; it’s real capital panic.
**Third Punch: Bank Liquidity Is Also Shrinking**
The overnight borrowing rate in the interbank market has soared, indicating that the financial system itself is under stress. When the entire system is waterless, risk assets are the first to be thrown out. Once a liquidity crisis is triggered, no asset can remain unscathed.