On January 3rd, Galaxy Digital’s research team released a forecast for 2026, indicating that it is still possible for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high in 2026. The options market currently prices the possibility of Bitcoin reaching around $70,000 or $130,000 by the end of June 2026 as equally likely, and the possibility of reaching around $50,000 or $250,000 by the end of 2026 as also equally likely. These broad ranges reflect short-term uncertainty. Before BTC firmly reclaims the $100,000 to $105,000 level, downside risks remain in the short term. However, it is expected that by the end of 2027, BTC will reach $250,000. Other parts of the forecast include: · No Solana inflation reduction proposals will be passed in 2026; the current proposal SIMD-0411 will be withdrawn without a vote; · The ratio of application revenue to network revenue will double; · The SEC will face lawsuits from traditional market participants or industry organizations due to innovation exemptions; · A major bank/brokerage will accept tokenized stocks as collateral; · DEX will account for over 25% of total spot trading volume; · Polymarket’s weekly trading volume will continue to exceed $1.5 billion; · The US will launch over 50 spot altcoin ETFs, and an additional 50 crypto ETFs (excluding spot single-currency products); · Net inflows into US spot crypto ETFs will exceed $50 billion; · More than 15 crypto companies will conduct IPOs or upgrade their listings in the US.
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Galaxy 2026 Prediction: The US will launch over 50 altcoin ETFs, and the SEC will face lawsuits due to overly lenient policies.
On January 3rd, Galaxy Digital’s research team released a forecast for 2026, indicating that it is still possible for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high in 2026. The options market currently prices the possibility of Bitcoin reaching around $70,000 or $130,000 by the end of June 2026 as equally likely, and the possibility of reaching around $50,000 or $250,000 by the end of 2026 as also equally likely. These broad ranges reflect short-term uncertainty. Before BTC firmly reclaims the $100,000 to $105,000 level, downside risks remain in the short term. However, it is expected that by the end of 2027, BTC will reach $250,000. Other parts of the forecast include: · No Solana inflation reduction proposals will be passed in 2026; the current proposal SIMD-0411 will be withdrawn without a vote; · The ratio of application revenue to network revenue will double; · The SEC will face lawsuits from traditional market participants or industry organizations due to innovation exemptions; · A major bank/brokerage will accept tokenized stocks as collateral; · DEX will account for over 25% of total spot trading volume; · Polymarket’s weekly trading volume will continue to exceed $1.5 billion; · The US will launch over 50 spot altcoin ETFs, and an additional 50 crypto ETFs (excluding spot single-currency products); · Net inflows into US spot crypto ETFs will exceed $50 billion; · More than 15 crypto companies will conduct IPOs or upgrade their listings in the US.