2026-01-06 02:23:47

Monthly key breakout, you need to look carefully here.

The ETH/BTC exchange rate change determines Ethereum's true potential. Conservatively speaking, if the exchange rate hits the resistance level of 0.05 and Bitcoin's price remains unchanged, ETH could at least reach 0.05 multiplied by 90,000, which is the 4,500 level.

From another perspective, if this wave indeed marks the start of a bull market, and Bitcoin steadily breaks through the new high of 125,000, then if ETH's exchange rate can return to its peak of 0.08, multiplying by 125,000 gives a target of 10,000. Sounds like a dream? But the technical charts are right in front of us. This isn't a game of faith; it's purely about what the candlestick data says.

Conversely, if we truly enter a bear market cycle, the ETH/BTC exchange rate often breaks in the opposite direction—after all, Ethereum's decline in a bear market is usually deeper than Bitcoin's. In that case, returning to the downward trend line of the exchange rate becomes very difficult to avoid. No matter which path it takes, the exchange rate is the key to breaking the deadlock.

ETH-0,12%

BTC0,63%

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MetaverseHermit

· 01-08 06:43

The ETH exchange rate is indeed a confusing maze, with a potential difference of a double between 0.05 and 0.08.

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not_your_keys

· 01-08 02:27

Damn, the real trick is the exchange rate. I was only focusing on the candlestick charts before. If ETH breaks 0.05, then 4500 is a sure thing, but the key is whether BTC can hold up. 10,000 yuan... sounds nice, but we need the exchange rate to return to 0.08. The bear market has arrived, and Ethereum is falling even harder. That's for sure.

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DAOdreamer

· 01-06 02:48

Exchange rates are indeed key, but to be honest, I don't quite believe the 0.08 level. Returning to historical highs is too difficult.

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SolidityStruggler

· 01-06 02:47

The exchange rates of 0.05 and 0.08 are really the dividing lines. Looking at the chart, it's quite interesting. ETH needs to be supported by BTC reaching 10,000 to succeed, but it doesn't seem unlikely at the moment. If a bear market comes, it will be hit even harder. This logic makes sense. The key is to keep a close eye on this exchange rate, or you might get caught in a trap.

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WhaleInTraining

· 01-06 02:40

Exchange rates are really the hidden boss. Once you understand them, you can buy the dip and sell at the top. Bro, I agree with your analysis. That 0.08 level is indeed tempting, but if you don't have BTC to support it, it's just talk on paper. During a bear market, ETH drops more violently than BTC—it's very real. That's how I got cut last year. You're talking about candlestick charts again, but the ones who really make money are always those who dare to gamble, not those who just look at the charts. I like the logic of 0.05 to 4500. It's conservative but solid. Let's focus on this support level first before considering anything else.

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BridgeTrustFund

· 01-06 02:36

Exchange rates are truly the answer to everything. Once you understand this logic, you won't get cut again.

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