Recently, the market has been quite interesting. Mainstream coins are quietly setting traps, while MEME coins are continuously creating wealth effects. Let's clarify the logic behind these two aspects～

**Bitcoin: After a week of continuous rise, it's time for a pause; 93,000 is the key support level**

From the bottom, it surged for a whole week, and now it has reached around 94,000, encountering resistance. This level's pressure is indeed significant, and in the short term, a small adjustment of 2-3 days is highly likely. How will it develop next? There are two scenarios:

One is holding steady at 93,000 and successfully breaking through 94,000—bullish signals light up immediately, pushing up toward 94,000 to 96,500, and possibly reaching 98,000. Since the bottom has been stabilized, the downside space is naturally limited.

The other is losing the 92,000 support—then we’ll look at whether the 90,000 to 89,400 range can hold. If it breaks further, it will head toward 88,200 to 86,800. If it falls below 91,200, it will revert to the old pattern of quiet consolidation.

Overall, the outlook leans towards oscillating upward. If it really drops near 90,000, that would be a good opportunity to buy the dip.

**Ethereum: Looks like it's rising, but actually "it's extremely fake"**

Although it’s close to the recent high, the four-hour weak signal is becoming more obvious—volume continues to shrink, and the price is rising purely through hard pulls, a typical end-of-strong momentum. I see two possible directions, but favor the first:

**Scenario 1**: Small timeframes continue to push upward forcefully, reaching around 3363 USDT and forming a short-term top, then creating a head-and-shoulders pattern before accelerating downward. This pattern aligns with the logic of the market makers—when retail traders think a reversal is coming and chase longs, it turns out to be a harsh wake-up call.

**Scenario 2**: Sideways consolidation "to delay the fall," waiting for time to erode market enthusiasm.

In either case, the downside risk is quite deep. The probability of chasing high now is really low.