#数字资产行情上升 $RIVER Spending a long time in the crypto world will gradually make one clear a truth—account losses are often not about effort, but about taking the wrong path from the start.

Newcomers are easily caught in a strange cycle: the deeper they research, the more thoroughly they lose.

Scrolling screens, following big V influencers, learning routines, stacking various analysis tools into trading systems: candlestick charts, moving averages, volatility ranges, trading volume, market sentiment, funding rates… The system becomes increasingly complex and cumbersome, yet the account struggles more and more. You think you're leveling up by fighting monsters, but in reality, you're just wrapping a broken plan in a complicated shell that can't be executed.

What’s the result? Today trading AI concepts, tomorrow heavily investing in MEME, the day after hearing about some "insider information" and rushing in, switching between several coins in a week, changing strategies multiple times. Shouting "strategy optimization" on the surface, but deep down unwilling to face the mistakes of the last operation. So, you keep switching targets, diluting your losses—that may seem less painful, but the money is indeed gone.

I’ve fallen into traps in this market for years before finally realizing: most retail investors are not wrong about the direction, but they have too many choices.

The subsequent change was simple—I cut out all the fancy stuff and kept only a highly simplified framework:
Single coin + Trend following + Swing cycles

This framework is so simple it’s almost boring, but surprisingly stable. The core points are three:
1. Focus on one coin ($BTC or $ETH). Don’t chase hot trends or bet on stories. Without an informational edge, the only winning chip is deep focus.
2. Follow the trend. Go long in an uptrend, go short in a downtrend. Don’t try to predict the top or bottom. You don’t need to understand every detail of the trend, just follow it diligently.
3. Add positions in stages. Start with small amounts to test the waters, increase after confirming the direction, lock in profits once the trend is confirmed, and exit immediately if a reverse signal appears.

What ultimately determines the outcome? Not the win rate, but the rationality of the position structure.

Last year, a follower who just entered the circle used $6,000 as starting capital, with no "special insider info," and no heavy bets. Just followed these three rules: follow the trend, wait for good entry points, and execute decisively. In less than a month, the account grew from $6,000 to $21,000.

This is not luck; it’s the compound effect brought by self-discipline.

But why can most people not learn this method? The answer is simple—because it’s too boring.

It requires patience to wait in cash, courage to accept failures, and the willingness to give up the dream of overnight riches. These are too difficult for many.

The game rules in crypto have never been about who is the smartest, but ruthlessly eliminating those lacking self-control.

True advancement is about entrusting the market to handle complexity, and only keeping simple discipline for yourself. When you can do this, you are on the path to long-term survival.