2026-01-07 18:27:18

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has shown a MACD golden cross signal on the monthly chart. Interestingly, the last time such technical performance appeared was in 2019—the year when Bitcoin then embarked on a parabolic rise.

From this perspective, liquidity is actually an accelerator for risk assets. Zoom in on the chart, and you can clearly see that the previous long-term downward trend has shown signs of reversal. What does this mean? Mainstream assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL have always been sensitive to a loose liquidity environment.

Of course, history will not simply repeat itself, but this signal is enough for us to re-examine the current market rhythm.

BTC0,4%

ETH1%

SOL2,22%

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GigaBrainAnon

· 01-10 18:16

The 2019 wave took off directly; can it be replicated this time? I'm not too sure. Once liquidity loosens, coins start to stir, and the pattern is like this. History doesn't repeat but rhymes; should we gamble or not? As for MACD golden cross, honestly, I've seen too many false breakouts... A golden cross is just a golden cross; the key is to see what the Federal Reserve's attitude will be afterward. Bitcoin's sensitivity to liquidity is indeed outrageous; even a slight change can cause overreactions. Fake signals need to be observed for a few more weeks to be sure. If this wave is a 2019 remake, I would go all in immediately. There are signs of a reversal, but the rebound and reversal are still different.

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LiquidationAlert

· 01-10 12:10

The 2019 market rally, can it happen again now? --- When liquidity loosens, coins tend to fly. This tactic is indeed old but effective. --- Golden cross is just a signal; the real key is how the Federal Reserve will act next. --- Wait, the probability that history won't repeat itself is actually higher... --- Uh, this logic seems a bit overly optimistic? --- A reversal signal has appeared, but the real question is whether it's a false breakout. --- Recreating 2019? Dream on. The environment is completely different now. --- It looks like the market has come back to life, but I still think caution is better. --- Liquidity accelerators are right; it's just that we're afraid they'll hit the brakes again halfway through. --- It's just a MACD golden cross; this thing is highly lagging, so I can't trust it. --- Mainstream coins are indeed sensitive to liquidity, so should we jump in now or wait and see? --- Long-term downtrend reversal? Feels a bit early, not so soon.

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ResearchChadButBroke

· 01-09 21:45

I missed the wave in 2019, can I buy the dip this time? Haha --- Liquidity accelerators are right, I'm just worried it’s another false alarm --- A golden cross means it can rise? Why do I still get stopped out? --- Wait, is this really different this time, or am I going to get trapped again? --- There are signs of reversal, but I haven't seen anyone survive going all-in --- According to this logic, SOL should have taken off already, why is it still like this? --- History doesn't repeat itself, so why am I studying history? --- I'm feeling a bit of FOMO, but I’ll stay calm and wait and see --- A loose and environmentally friendly environment is coming, can my wallet hold up? --- Both technical analysis and liquidity are factors, but in the end, it still depends on how big players dump the market

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MoonMathMagic

· 01-07 18:57

The shadow of 2019 is back again. This time, can we also see a parabola? --- Liquidity is an accelerator, so let's just wait and step on the gas. --- It sounds good, but we still need to see the Federal Reserve's true attitude. --- Signs of reversal are indeed tempting, but I'm just worried it might be a false alarm again. --- History doesn't repeat itself, but patterns always do, and that's the cruel part. --- MACD golden cross has been talked about so much that ears are getting calloused; the key is still execution. --- In my opinion, compared to technical analysis, it's more important to keep an eye on Powell's words. --- Remembering the crazy surge in 2019, this time I choose to be cautious and optimistic. --- When liquidity arrives, assets come alive. Simple and crude, but effective. --- Reassessing the market rhythm? I just want to know when I can get rich.

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PanicSeller

· 01-07 18:44

If 2019's wave really comes again, I'll go all in. --- Damn, starting to talk about liquidity again, same old spiel every time. How did I lose when the signal appeared last time? --- Reversal signs? I don’t buy it. Let’s see if the rebound really happens first. --- If history doesn’t repeat itself, what’s the point of technical analysis? Just giving up. --- MACD golden cross does have some significance, but don’t make me cut my losses again. --- Trying to lure me into the market again? This time I’ve learned to be smart and watch first. --- The liquidity accelerator, huh? Then why doesn’t it speed up my wallet? --- Bringing up 2019 to make a point. Can the environment be the same now? Pure nonsense. --- Seeing a reversal, but I stepped into a trap. The tactics are deep. --- Loose environment is more sensitive? Then why do markets crash during tightening?

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StakeTillRetire

· 01-07 18:41

The 2019 rally... Thinking about it, it's a bit regrettable. Can it really be replicated this time? Wait, it's the same story about liquidity accelerators again. This round feels really different. The MACD golden cross looks good, but... I always feel like something's not quite right. This is getting interesting. Can a reversal in the balance sheet really drive SOL to soar? The logic seems sound, but could it be just another trick... Loose liquidity = price skyrocket? That formula is a bit too simple. No need to bash, but I just want to ask—are the chances of history repeating really that high? It might look like it, but betting with real money is another story. History may not repeat, but the signals are there. I don’t buy it... but we still need to see.

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MEVHunterWang

· 01-07 18:32

I missed the wave in 2019, this time I have to seize it --- MACD golden cross sounds good, but can it really replicate 2019? It's a bit uncertain --- I love the term liquidity accelerator, but I'm afraid it might accelerate to the edge of a cliff --- Reversal signs? I'll see how long it can reverse before saying anything, we all know history doesn't repeat exactly --- Wait, is this a real signal or just another trick to get me in? I feel like something's missing --- SOL is here? Ah, I'm really afraid of getting cut again --- It's just a monthly golden cross, don't raise expectations that high --- Loose liquidity is coming? Then I should leverage up, no, better to wait and see --- If I redo 2019, can I get rich quickly? Seriously asking

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