2026-01-08 16:30:35

#密码资产动态追踪 The moment December employment data is released in the US, the market will be watching closely. Non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, and wage growth—these three figures determine whether the Federal Reserve will continue to hold steady or take further action. If the data exceeds expectations, rate hike expectations will spike, the US dollar will appreciate, and then BTC, ETH, and other assets will likely be hit, causing the entire crypto market to be pressed down. Conversely, if the data is weak and the probability of a rate hike decreases, a US dollar depreciation becomes a positive signal, and the possibility of a rebound in crypto prices increases.

In addition to employment data, keep an eye on the final ruling on tariffs from Trump, the direction of oil policies, as well as the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and inflation expectations. Although these factors seem distant from the crypto market, they influence market risk appetite—once risk sentiment shifts, the flow of safe-haven funds will change. If the tariff policies are deemed legal, concerns over trade friction may intensify, and in such times, BTC as a safe-haven asset may be more likely to be sought after in the short term.

$BTC $ETH

BTC1,26%

ETH1,39%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

10 Likes

Reward
10
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

MidnightTrader

· 6h ago

Once the employment data is released, it's all over; now it's all about gambling. If the non-farm payrolls exceed expectations, you really need to run. I've seen enough people get trapped multiple times. A weaker data point is actually a hint; the Federal Reserve easing its stance is the real lifeline for the crypto market. When Trump plays the tariff card, safe-haven funds pour into BTC—I believe in this logic. Let's wait for the data. Anyway, some people will make money while others lose; the key is which side you're on. An appreciating dollar is a nightmare, always the same routine every time.

View OriginalReply0

ColdWalletGuardian

· 23h ago

Once the employment data is released, you'll know how the market will move. It feels like trading now is just gambling on the Federal Reserve's mood. The US's tariff policy really muddied the waters; has BTC become a safe haven instead? That's a bit counterintuitive. If the data doesn't meet expectations, just wait for a bottom to buy in, otherwise you're just getting caught in a trap. Dollar appreciation is a nightmare for the crypto world; let's hope we don't get cut again this time. Non-farm payroll data is the key; everything else is just floating clouds. Stay alert. The chess game of tariff policies is quite ruthless; crypto investors should start thinking about risk transfer. When wage growth surges, the Federal Reserve is bound to act again, and this rhythm is really annoying. It's hard to say where safe-haven funds will flow now; the market feels a bit chaotic. If consumer confidence collapses, BTC might have a chance to rebound; it all depends on how it plays out. Dollar devaluation is the best positive news; we're just waiting for that moment.

View OriginalReply0

OnlyUpOnly

· 23h ago

Once the non-farm payroll data is released, the crypto world should hold its breath... Last time, when the dollar appreciated, we got hammered directly. If the indicators look good this time, the Federal Reserve might cause trouble again.

View OriginalReply0

FomoAnxiety

· 23h ago

Wait a minute, as soon as the employment data is released, you'll know whether it will fall or rise? It doesn't seem that simple; this market is too big. I understand the logic that strong non-farm payroll data boosts the dollar, but does BTC really follow the dollar that closely? The Federal Reserve hasn't set a clear stance yet, so how can they start counting rate hike expectations? Isn't that a bit early? If the tariff policies are legal, can BTC be considered a safe-haven asset? Honestly, that's a bit of a stretch; the risk appetite in the crypto world isn't the same as traditional assets. This week's non-farm payroll data will be closely watched; it might just be a false alarm, and in the end, it will still follow Trump's cues. I'm just worried that if the data is lukewarm, that would be the most annoying situation—stuck and unable to move up or down.

View OriginalReply0

SelfSovereignSteve

· 23h ago

Once again, employment data is causing turbulence. This time, it really seems like volatility is coming. Data exceeding expectations will lead to a sharp hit, and the Federal Reserve's stance is still hanging in the balance. Interestingly, tariffs might actually provide some relief if they are passed through BTC? Let's wait and see. Anyway, holding coins is becoming exhausting now.

View OriginalReply0

PessimisticOracle

· 01-08 16:35

Here comes again, will this employment data save the market or continue to crash? Feels like when the non-farm payrolls come out, BTC is bound to get hit. --- When the dollar appreciates, coins fall. This logic has been old news for a long time, but it’s always accurate. --- When will Trump’s tariff policy have a definitive answer? It’s really tough for us crypto enthusiasts. --- Honestly, it still depends on the Federal Reserve’s stance. If they don’t loosen, we can’t get back up. --- Safe-haven assets? Laughable. When risk hits, BTC is the first to get hammered. Don’t deceive yourself. --- The Consumer Confidence Index can also influence coin prices. This market is really damn unpredictable. --- Waiting to see the non-farm payroll data. In my opinion, it’s most likely to be green. --- When oil drops, coins drop; when oil rises, coins drop. The crypto world is really micro-manipulated to death. --- If the data exceeds expectations this time, I’ll go all out and clear my positions. I don’t want to be trapped again. --- If tariffs really become legalized, will BTC turn around in the short term? I remain skeptical.

View OriginalReply0