Important US Economic Data to be Announced on January 15, 2026, all core data scheduled for release at 21:30 Beijing time, including:

1. US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 10: previous value 208,000, expected 215,000. This is a key indicator reflecting the US labor market condition, rated four stars (high importance).

2. New York Fed Manufacturing Index for January: previous -3.9, expected 1. Measures the manufacturing activity climate in the New York region, rated three stars.

3. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for January: previous -8.8, expected -1. Reflects the manufacturing development trend in the Philadelphia district, rated three stars.

4. US Import Price Index for November: no previous value, expected -0.1%. Shows the change in prices of imported goods, related to inflation levels, rated three stars.

Potential Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market

1. Initial Jobless Claims: If the announced value > expected, it indicates a weakening US employment market, and market expectations for Fed rate cuts will increase, usually bullish for cryptocurrencies (such as Ethereum, Bitcoin); if the announced value < expected, the employment market is relatively strong, rate cut expectations decrease, which may suppress cryptocurrency prices.

2. Manufacturing Indices: If the New York/Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index exceeds expectations, it indicates a US manufacturing recovery, the US dollar index may strengthen, and cryptocurrencies could face pressure; if below expectations, manufacturing remains weak, the dollar weakens, and cryptocurrencies may find support.

3. Import Price Index: If the figure is below expectations, US imported inflation pressure eases, reducing the likelihood of Fed rate hikes, which benefits the risk appetite in the crypto market; conversely, it may trigger tightening expectations, negatively impacting cryptocurrencies.

Trading Strategy Reference

1. Before data release: Maintain a light position and observe, avoid heavy bets, as multiple data releases can cause sharp market volatility.

2. After data release:

◦ If overall data leans toward “increased expectations of Fed rate cuts,” consider short-term long positions on Ethereum/Bitcoin on dips, with stop-loss set below recent key support levels.

◦ If the data shows a relatively strong US economy and rate cut expectations decrease, exit positions promptly and observe, or try light short positions, strictly controlling position size and stop-loss $ETH .