The US government shutdown crisis has once again intensified, with the probability of a shutdown rising to around 78%. If a shutdown occurs on October 1, 2025, after Bitcoin hits a new high, it could face a sharp decline. So, what about this time? Do you guess?

On Thursday at 3 a.m., the FOMC interest rate decision will be announced. However, given current expectations, there is a high chance that rates will remain unchanged. Sister Ying also shares this view. Following that, Fed Chair Powell will speak. Will he adopt a dovish or hawkish stance? That remains to be seen.

In May 2026, Fed Chair Powell's term will end (as the hawkish representative after Yellen). Who will be the next Federal Reserve Chair? Will they be hawkish or dovish? Trump prefers low interest rates and has criticized Powell multiple times...

In November 2026, during the US midterm elections, how will Trump respond?

Meanwhile, recent tensions over tariffs continue to escalate, and tariff concerns are putting pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin...$BTC