📉 Stage One: Rapid V Reversal Start (2.6 08:00 - 2.7 01:00) Spike: The market started with an extreme low point at 1740 and rebounded with increased volume. Urgency (Sense of Urgency): During this rally, almost no candlesticks had real bodies below 30%, indicating very pure bullish strength. The price quickly broke above the 20 EMA, completing the transition from a "bearish trend" to a "bullish breakout." From 08:00 on the 8th to 05:00 on the 8th 📊 Stage Two: Pullback Confirmation and Channel Formation (2.7 01:00 - 2.7 08:00) EMA Support Validated: The price experienced a standard pullback to around 1970, touching the 20 EMA, then triggered tB again. 🧱 Stage Three: High-Level Horizontal Range (2.7 08:00 - 2.8 05:00) Trading Range (TR) Appears: The price entered a rectangular box marked with a blue frame in the chart (2050 - 2090). Barbed Wire (Barbed Wire) Structure, representing a balance between bulls and bears, not a reliable breakout indicator.
💡 Core Observation and Future Analysis Current State: Tight Balance. The price is currently (around 05:00 on 2.8) moving sideways along the 20 EMA. **"Consolidation"**.
Breakout Direction Bullish Breakout: If a candlestick closes above 2100 with a real body > 50%, triggering tB, then the second wave of upward movement (Measured Move) starting from 1740 will target 2200.
Bearish Breakout: If the price falls below the lower boundary of the blue box (2050) and closes below the EMA, the rebound momentum at the 1H level will be considered exhausted.
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ETH 1 Hour (1H) Chart February 6
📉 Stage One: Rapid V Reversal
Start (2.6 08:00 - 2.7 01:00) Spike: The market started with an extreme low point at 1740 and rebounded with increased volume.
Urgency (Sense of Urgency): During this rally, almost no candlesticks had real bodies below 30%, indicating very pure bullish strength. The price quickly broke above the 20 EMA, completing the transition from a "bearish trend" to a "bullish breakout."
From 08:00 on the 8th to 05:00 on the 8th
📊 Stage Two: Pullback Confirmation and Channel Formation (2.7 01:00 - 2.7 08:00)
EMA Support Validated: The price experienced a standard pullback to around 1970, touching the 20 EMA, then triggered tB again.
🧱 Stage Three: High-Level Horizontal Range (2.7 08:00 - 2.8 05:00)
Trading Range (TR) Appears: The price entered a rectangular box marked with a blue frame in the chart (2050 - 2090).
Barbed Wire (Barbed Wire) Structure, representing a balance between bulls and bears, not a reliable breakout indicator.
💡 Core Observation and Future Analysis Current State: Tight Balance.
The price is currently (around 05:00 on 2.8) moving sideways along the 20 EMA.
**"Consolidation"**.
Breakout Direction
Bullish Breakout: If a candlestick closes above 2100 with a real body > 50%, triggering tB, then the second wave of upward movement (Measured Move) starting from 1740 will target 2200.
Bearish Breakout: If the price falls below the lower boundary of the blue box (2050) and closes below the EMA, the rebound momentum at the 1H level will be considered exhausted.