2026-02-19 01:30:55

1. Probable Range for Today (Subjective Judgment)

- Most Likely Range: 81.2–83.8

- Today's Highest Expectation: 83.5–84.2

- Extreme Scenario (High Volume + BTC Rally): Touching 85, but probability < 30%

- If it breaks below 80, the immediate target drops to around 81

2. Resistance Levels (From Near to Far)

1. 82.0–82.5: Last night's rebound high, first minor resistance

2. 83.0–83.5: Key level after last night's breakout and pullback, strong resistance

3. 84.0–84.5: Intraday rebound limit

4. 85.0: If you plan to short, it’s unlikely to hold steady today

3. Why It’s Difficult to Reach 85

- Daily/Weekly charts show a bearish dominance; rebounds are oversold corrections

- Last night’s volume-driven pullback from 83, trapping longs

- 4-hour/15-minute volume insufficient, momentum weak

- BTC is weak, lacking major market support

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