📍 USA - Iran: War imminent?

📌 U.S. Side
- 25 strategic refueling aircraft have been deployed to the Middle East. Tankers are not offensive weapons, but are essential for maintaining long-range airstrikes.
- 6 E-3 AWACS are present in the (U.S. region, which only has a total of 16 aircraft but has deployed 6 to the area — representing up to 40% of air control capacity).
- 2 U-2 reconnaissance aircraft have appeared with uplink node missions — connecting signals and consolidating data from an altitude of ~40,000 feet.
-> The scale is so large that flight data has been publicly disclosed for aviation safety, indicating that the U.S. is ready for war.
📌 Iran Side
- Continuing to reinforce underground bases -> The familiar strategy is dispersal to reduce the risk of targeted strikes.
- Threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz.
-> No action yet, but oil prices have surged by 6%.
📌 Russia and China have dispatched warships to the exercise area to increase presence.
Hormuz is a shipping route that accounts for ~20% of global oil supply. Any disruption risk is immediately reflected in energy prices.