Trend Analysis After reaching a high of 1996, the market continued to weaken, completing a second decline, and probing a new low at 1796.
Currently, the price is trading within the 1800 — 1820 range.
Overall: Continuation of a bearish trend not a bottoming structure.
Reasons: 1H high and low points are continuously moving lower Moving averages remain in a bearish alignment BOLL lower band continues to diverge downward Price has been operating near the lower band for a long time MACD remains below the zero line Rebound momentum is clearly insufficient
Market Status: Weak rebound → being suppressed again A typical downward trend rhythm.
Key Levels
Resistance Zone 1835: Short-term resistance 1865: Strong resistance on rebound 1900: Trend reversal boundary
Support Zone 1796: Current low 1760: Breakout acceleration point 1720: Sentiment panic zone
Summary The core question in the market now is not: Will it rebound?
But: Can the rebound change the trend?
The current answer is — no.
The structure remains: Downtrend → Weak correction → New lows again
Trading Strategy
✔️ Main Approach Rebound near 1835–1865 Prioritize shorting with the trend
✔️ Secondary Approach Around 1796, only allow Quick in and out short-term rebounds
✖️ Not recommended Preemptive bottom fishing
One key point:
The bearish trend is not over, and a bottom has not yet appeared.
Only by regaining stability above 1900 can ETH truly enter a phase reversal.#ETH
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ETH Wave Structure (1H)
Trend Analysis
After reaching a high of 1996, the market continued to weaken,
completing a second decline,
and probing a new low at 1796.
Currently, the price is trading within
the 1800 — 1820 range.
Overall:
Continuation of a bearish trend
not a bottoming structure.
Reasons:
1H high and low points are continuously moving lower
Moving averages remain in a bearish alignment
BOLL lower band continues to diverge downward
Price has been operating near the lower band for a long time
MACD remains below the zero line
Rebound momentum is clearly insufficient
Market Status:
Weak rebound → being suppressed again
A typical downward trend rhythm.
Key Levels
Resistance Zone
1835: Short-term resistance
1865: Strong resistance on rebound
1900: Trend reversal boundary
Support Zone
1796: Current low
1760: Breakout acceleration point
1720: Sentiment panic zone
Summary
The core question in the market now is not:
Will it rebound?
But:
Can the rebound change the trend?
The current answer is — no.
The structure remains:
Downtrend → Weak correction → New lows again
Trading Strategy
✔️ Main Approach
Rebound near 1835–1865
Prioritize shorting with the trend
✔️ Secondary Approach
Around 1796, only allow
Quick in and out short-term rebounds
✖️ Not recommended
Preemptive bottom fishing
One key point:
The bearish trend is not over, and a bottom has not yet appeared.
Only by regaining stability above 1900
can ETH truly enter a phase reversal.#ETH