# Mei's Exclusive: HYPE's Sudden "Roller Coaster" Hides Major Player Wash-Out Conspiracy! Tonight Watch the 38.6 Life-or-Death Level, Retail Traders Do This to Avoid Getting Thrown Off the Bus!

Mei is breaking down the HYPE chart for you completely today.

We'll stick to the old routine: check the news first, then analyze the technicals, and finally give you trading advice.

## I. News: Middle East Conflict Spreads to Oil Markets, HYPE Caught in Crossfire?

Early this morning Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz, and oil prices skyrocketed to $98 instantly! Although they later allowed some vessels through, a daily supply gap of 20 million barrels is now locked in.

The key point is that the crude oil futures funding rate on Hyperliquid just flipped from negative to positive, with CL at 0.0012% and BRENTOIL at 0.0052%—this means big money is entering the market!

Oil up, inflation expectations up, and high-elasticity tokens like HYPE naturally follow.

News Summary: Geopolitical conflict ignites bullish sentiment, funds are pouring in, don't let early morning dips scare you!

## II. Technical Analysis: 4-Hour Chart Reveals Major Players' Trump Card!

Looking at MACD, the yellow and white lines are lifting above the 0 axis—classic mid-uptrend continuation pattern! Current price 37.694 sits right on a key support level. Upper resistance at 38.6 and 39.9, lower support at 37.7, 35.7, 34.0.

Today's sharp drop to 37.694 was immediately reversed, with bid-ask ratio at -0.13% but massive bids below—major players are washing out, not exiting!

Technical Summary: Main trend is intact, every dip is a buying opportunity, holding 37.7 will push to 38.6!

## III. Retail Trading Advice: Buy or Sell Now?

**Already in position:** Move stops up to 36.8, target 39.2 to take half profits, let winners run.

**Not yet in:** Enter 3 tenths of position at current 37.7, add another 3 tenths on a retest to 37.5, stop-loss at 36.5, target 39.2-39.9.

**Key Points:** Add positions on volume breakout through 38.0; if close below 37.5, reduce position and wait to re-enter at 35.7.

Don't go all-in, scale in gradually, win steadily!

## IV. Personal View: Only Two Scenarios Tonight, Retail Must Know in Advance!

Combining news and technicals, I have only one judgment on tonight's move: either nothing happens, or we get a massive bullish candle that breaks through 38.6 directly!

**Scenario 1 (70% probability):**Around US stock open, funds will leverage the escalating Middle East situation to push HYPE. Will first test 38.6, and if volume confirms the breakout, target 39.9 next. The key to this scenario:**must have volume!** If price rises without volume, it's a fake breakout.

**Scenario 2 (30% probability):** If HYPE hasn't held 38.0 by 8 PM, it means bulls are exhausted today and may retest 35.7 for support before attacking higher. In this scenario, 35.7 is an excellent buying opportunity.

I personally lean toward Scenario 1 because the crude oil funding rate just flipped positive—big money entry leaves traces. Institutions deploying hundreds of millions isn't charity work.

Main trend is up, don't get swayed by intraday fluctuations. At this level, the risk of bearish positioning far outweighs bullish.

Markets always have opportunities; the key is to trade calmly.