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🟠 Cuba Accepts Negotiations with US, Sensitive Move After Over 10 Years Since Obama Era
President Miguel Díaz‑Canel announced on national television that Cuba has begun negotiations with the US and will allow the FBI limited access to Cuban territory to assist in investigating an armed intrusion. Miguel also called this a "sensitive step" for the regime.
The last time the US accessed Cuban territory (publicly) was during the thawing of US-Cuba relations from late 2014. At that time, Obama and Raúl Castro announced the normalization of relations after more than 50 years of hostility.
Currently, Cuba is experiencing its worst energy crisis in many decades. Oil supplies from Venezuela - the sole pillar sustaining the electric system and transportation - have declined sharply. Cuba is nearly paralyzed.
The presence of a US law enforcement agency on Cuban territory has always been an extremely sensitive issue regarding sovereignty and security. The Cuban president will face pressure from both sides:
- Any sign of cooperation with Washington could be viewed by conservative factions within Cuba's political system and allied nations as a concession.
- Second is the pressure of economic survival as Cuba falls into severe crisis.
As traditional sources of support weaken, Cuba has few options left and is forced to make concessions to the United States. Could this lead to a second Venezuela scenario?