#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 The whole world is waiting for Monday, an epic storm📢📢📢

Everyone is waiting for the market to open on Monday.
First, the conflict escalates. On Saturday, Trump posted on TRUTH SOCIAL about his final deadline for Iran. With time running out, in 48 hours, hell will descend (expected to expire Monday evening Eastern Time).
Trump warned that if Iran does not accept his conditions (Iran has already rejected them), and if the Strait of Hormuz is not opened, the U.S. will bomb the country’s civilian energy infrastructure—an attack like this would very likely constitute a war crime under international law.
Trump had previously claimed that Iran no longer has air defense systems, but U.S. fighter jets were still shot down, weakening Trump’s victory narrative. The incident of a fighter jet being shot down will make people question Trump’s capabilities, just as the end of the Afghanistan war led some voters to question Biden’s abilities.

Second, the U.S. March non-farm payroll data released on Friday was unusually strong, shattering the market’s last hopes—expectations of rate cuts this year are “wiped out directly.” Since the market was closed on Friday, the accumulated selling pressure and sentiment will be released instantly at the opening on Monday.

Third, the market is now focused on whether oil prices will “get out of control,” and “expected to get out of control” moves faster than reality. Brent spot crude has already surged to $140, while the futures price is still hovering at less than $110. Developments over the weekend make it possible for oil prices to break through $120 at the opening on Monday·
$120 for oil: The market enters “stagflation pricing,” and once it’s confirmed, the impact is not for a day—it’s for an entire phase.
· $130 for oil: It begins “uncontrolled expectations,”. Once this scene appears, the market’s views on the stock market and gold will need to be adjusted.

Fourth, according to a survey released on Saturday, investors are still extremely bullish on oil prices, bearish on the U.S. stock market, and bullish on gold; however, the number of people bullish on gold has fallen compared with last week.

A Monday open is not a typical trading day. If oil prices confirm they stand above $120 and the fighting has not yet ended, we may be standing right at a historical turning point for “re-pricing global assets.”