Tonight, the expiration of Trump's "red line" against Iran and the deadline he set mark a critical turning point for global markets and regional geopolitics.

In his latest statements, Trump's use of harsh language—(threatening to target civilian infrastructure if the Strait of Hormuz is closed)—has pushed the situation between "diplomatic solution" and "total destruction" into a gray area.
Possible scenarios are as follows:
1. Infrastructure Attack Scenario
Trump has given a deadline until 03:00 AM Turkey time tonight. If Iran does not back down:
• Military Aspect: The U.S. is expected to target Iran's power plants, bridges, dams, and especially Kharg Island, which is the heart of oil exports.
• Economic Impact: The complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sudden and sharp increases in oil prices—(Brent) possibly reaching the $150 range(. This would trigger global inflationary pressures.
2. Regime Change and Internal Unrest
Trump's extreme statements like "All civilization could die" are interpreted as psychological warfare strategies that pressure the Iranian people to rise against the regime.
• Scenario: Instead of a direct ground invasion, the U