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#周末我的交易计划 Is 24 Hours the Key to Determining Peace or War? U.S.-Iran Negotiations, Three Bottom Lines Non-Negotiable, Global Markets Hold Their Breath!
Just now, the world’s attention focused on the entrance of a hotel in Islamabad. Not to chase stars, not to watch the excitement. It’s about war and peace. On April 11th, local time, Islamabad, Pakistan, Serena Hotel. The U.S. and Iran finally sat down at the same negotiation table. This day, more than 40 days have passed since the outbreak of hostilities. Just before the negotiations began, Trump made a statement that made the heart of global capital markets tighten suddenly: “The outcome will be clear within 24 hours.” 24 hours. War or peace? Continue fighting or shake hands and make peace? The global oil markets, stock markets, and currency markets are all waiting for this answer.
1. Being able to sit down for negotiations is itself not easy
Honestly, just sitting down for these negotiations is not easy. Over 40 days of intense conflict, both sides have shown their fire. Iran’s missiles, the U.S. aircraft carriers, clouds over the Middle East. But note, the form of negotiations is still uncertain—could be “face-to-face,” or “back-to-back,” with messages relayed through the intermediary in Pakistan. Iran’s stance is very clear: talks are possible, but I haven’t put my knife down. On the eve of negotiations, Iran’s armed forces issued a statement: Given the repeated breaches of trust by the U.S. and Israel, Iran’s armed forces remain on full alert and ready