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Negotiations collapsed in under 24 hours! Iran put on display children's relics, and the Epstein scandal suddenly strikes Trump
Peace talks? It went bad in less than a day. Faster than I expected.
What do these negotiations look like? Uncle Hat mediating a brawl: the two of them had just finished fighting, and their eyes were red. Iran in one room, the U.S. in another, passing messages across the air—“calm down, calm down.” From the start, they never faced each other directly.
Iran’s delegation boarded the plane, with photos of elementary school students laid out in the front row, along with excavated backpack relics. What does that mean? Pay blood debt with blood. No intention to back down, and even less intention to compromise. What you can’t get on the battlefield, don’t even think you’ll get at the negotiating table.
What are the odds? During the negotiations, Epstein files were leaked again. This time, it’s about a salacious claim involving Trump’s wife, Melania, saying she was introduced to Trump by Epstein. Melania urgently held a press conference to deny it, saying she never flew on his plane or visited his private island. But everyone suspects: Trump has a hold over people in Israel. There are even claims that—Mossad used Epstein to record a bunch of scandals involving U.S. officials, to manipulate politicians. At a time like this, bringing it up is a threat to Trump: don’t expect the peace talks to succeed.
So what was actually discussed? At least the temperature cooled. Trump once said, “Within 24 hours, destroy all Iran power plants and bridges,” and if it turned into real war, it would be irreversible. Now everyone is pulling back, so don’t escalate from tools to taking lives.
What happens next? Iran is still going to get hit. It probably won’t go looking for trouble on purpose, but the U.S. and Israel will stage another round. Iran will defend against one wave, then find somewhere to strike back—fighting, pausing, and making the war long-term. Iran will buy more air defense systems, even M band radar, and Russia is also happy to support it, since high oil prices means it benefits too.
For us? One message from the Strait of Hormuz, and PPI turns positive for the first time in more than forty months. Next month, CPI could also turn positive—slowly moving out of deflation. For the U.S., it’s disastrous: once oil prices rise, inflation can’t be contained, which is catastrophic for Trump. The MAGA team is already tearing itself apart internally, and he is publicly cursing his own people on social media. Internal troubles and external threats—how does the “read-it-all” guy take the next move? #Gate现货衍生品双双冲进全球前三