#Gate广场四月发帖挑战

As of April 13, 2026 (current), the Strait of Hormuz is under strict control by Iran with extremely low traffic flow restrictions, not a complete physical blockade, but energy transportation (oil tankers/LNG) is essentially halted.

1. Core Background (Trigger)

- April 8: The US and Iran announced a two-week temporary ceasefire.

- On the same day: Israel conducted airstrikes in Lebanon, Iran considered it a violation of the ceasefire, and immediately increased Strait control, stating that ships without permission would be attacked.

- Iran laid mines in the main shipping lane, forcing ships to navigate through the northern designated narrow channel.

2. Current Navigation Situation (April 8–12)

- Only 5–10 ships pass per day (normally about 120–135 ships/day).

- Almost no oil tankers/LNG ships: mainly bulk and general cargo ships.

- Rules:

- Permission must be applied for in advance from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.

- Only non-hostile, neutral/friendly countries' ships are allowed.

- Passage is prohibited without approval, otherwise risk of sinking or mine contact.

- Stranded: approximately 400–800 ships (including hundreds of oil tankers) are stuck in the Persian Gulf.

3. Energy and Market Impact

- About 20% of global oil trade passes through this channel.

- International oil prices surged to $115–120 per barrel.

- Shipping companies rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope, increasing costs by 30% and adding 10 days to the voyage.

- War risk insurance premiums skyrocketed, mainstream oil tanker companies dare not enter.

4. Positions of Various Parties

- Iran: Using the Strait as a bargaining chip, demanding compensation from the US and Israel, and recognition of its uranium enrichment rights.

- United States: Pressuring Iran to open the Strait, but no signs of military action.

- China/India/EU: Calling for an immediate and comprehensive resumption of navigation to ensure energy security.

5. Short-term Outlook

- Ceasefire until April 22; Strait control is the core of US-Iran negotiations.

- Complete normalization is unlikely in the short term; a limited flow approval system is likely to be maintained.