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The market is about to face a major test again.
Today, over $4 billion worth of options contracts are set to expire—among them, Bitcoin options amount to $3.36 billion, with strike prices concentrated at $91,000; Ethereum options total $648 million, with a key level at $3,050. The expiration of options at this scale often triggers significant short-term volatility.
What’s even more concerning is the underlying trend signal. After reaching a historic high in 2025, Bitcoin turned into a loss position starting December 4, reminiscent of the market turning point in 2007. If cryptocurrencies contin
BTC1.58%
ETH5.1%
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LoneValidatorvip:
4 billion options are expiring. Can we hold this wave? Feels like a shakeout is coming.
At 11 PM tonight, a single number could shake the entire crypto market—the US September Core PCE data is about to be released.
This is not an ordinary economic indicator. Core PCE is the inflation metric the Fed values most, directly determining the policy direction of next week’s FOMC meeting. Previous value: 2.9%, market expectation: 2.8%. Even a deviation of just 0.1 percentage points could rewrite short-term liquidity expectations.
Why should the crypto market care about this traditional financial data? Because today’s Bitcoin and Ethereum are far more than just “decentralized safe-haven a
BTC1.58%
ETH5.1%
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Tonight’s September PCE data is coming out, and it might be the most critical indicator in the near term. Right now, global monetary policy is practically in a state of “schizophrenia”—the US is sharpening its knives and preparing for rate cuts, while Japan is dead set on raising rates. One is hitting the gas, the other is slamming the brakes, and the market doesn’t even know whom to trust anymore.
Why is this data considered the anchor of stability? Because it’s directly tied to whether the Fed will actually take action in December. Currently, the market is pricing in about an 87% chance of a
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Want to quickly understand the SEC? Just remember these three points—it's not complicated at all.
First, what does it do? It's the regulator and rule-maker of the US financial markets. The agency was established in 1934, right after the Great Depression wreaked havoc on the stock market. It was created specifically to protect retail investors and prevent the market from being wrecked by fraud and manipulation. Simply put, it's there to back up investors.
Its jurisdiction is quite broad. In traditional finance, US stocks, bonds, funds, brokerages (like JPMorgan), and exchanges (like Nasdaq) are
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gaslight_gasfeezvip:
The SEC's tricks are basically just acting as the Fed's watchdog. Once it targets the crypto space, it's game over. That guy Gensler really doesn't take us seriously at all.
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When it comes to cryptocurrency tipping, MASK and DOGE are often compared, but in reality, their approaches are completely different.
DOGE takes the “for everyone” route. On mainstream platforms like Reddit and X, all you need is a wallet address, and you can tip your favorite content creators via bots or plugins. Transaction fees are almost negligible, transfers are fast, and it works in any ecosystem—which is why DOGE has stayed popular for so long. No matter the platform or scenario, DOGE comes in handy.
MASK’s tipping feature, on the other hand, is more like a “members-only service.” It on
MASK3.41%
DOGE3.09%
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RektRecoveryvip:
DOGE everywhere, MASK nowhere—classic walled garden vs. actual utility play. seen this movie before, always ends the same way.
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Today, A-shares suddenly surged with heavy trading volume, but insiders had already sensed the wind—insurance funds have been given the green light!
The regulators quietly tweaked two technical parameters: For CSI 300 and CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 constituent stocks held for more than 3 years, the risk factor was cut from 0.3 to 0.27; for STAR Market ordinary stocks held for more than 2 years, the risk factor was reduced from 0.4 to 0.36. What does this mean?
Simply put: insurance companies buying these high-quality stocks no longer need to set aside as much "risk reserve capital."
For e
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BTCRetirementFundvip:
Damn, this move is really a stealth maneuver. No wonder they dumped right at the opening this morning; so this was the logic behind it.

Freeing up 100 billion, insurance funds are indeed coming to dump the market.

Pension funds just watching Bitcoin with a smile.
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LUNC’s current rally is something else. Trading volume is approaching $2 billion, turnover rate is explosive—this isn’t just market makers faking numbers, it’s real money flooding in.
Just look at the burn data—960 million tokens burned in the past seven days. A major exchange threw all the fees earned in November straight into the burn black hole, slashing circulating supply by nearly 1%. The deflationary effect is clearly visible.
But the real fireworks are coming up. A 48-hour countdown: on December 8, the v3.5.0 hard fork goes live. What does reactivating the Market Module mean? On-chain o
LUNC2.94%
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StakeOrRegretvip:
This wave is indeed a bit interesting; the burn data doesn't lie.
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Is small capital really hopeless? I’ve seen too many people use this as an excuse.
Last year, I coached a trader whose account was down to just 800 USDT, and everyone around him was mocking him. What happened in the end? Now his account has 160,000 USDT sitting in it, and all those people who laughed at him have shut up.
How did he do it? Simply put, it came down to three stages:
**The launch phase is the most critical.** When he had 800 USDT, he used small positions for quick in-and-out trades to test the waters, only choosing high-certainty short-term opportunities. In two weeks, he grew it
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DegenDreamervip:
Turning 800U into 160,000—this is a true small-capital comeback, not one of those stories where someone gets lucky by going all-in.
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I did something really ridiculous today. Previously, I participated in an IDO for a stablecoin project, and the token was STBL. This time, I saw a contract for STABLE go live on a major exchange, and in a moment of impulse, I assumed it was the same coin.
At that time, I saw STABLE was priced at 0.06 on Hyper and Aster, while the contract on the major exchange was only 0.035. That’s a huge price difference! I immediately started planning an arbitrage—go long on the major exchange, short on Hyper and Aster, and pocket the spread.
Halfway through opening my positions, I suddenly realized: these
STBL-2.82%
STABLE-17.49%
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TrustlessMaximalistvip:
Haha, this is hilarious, the token sniper messed up live on the spot.

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Can STBL and STABLE be the same? How can you confuse these?

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Bro tried to arbitrage but got trapped instead, classic case of being dazzled.

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Opening a position without verifying the contract address, that's some real guts.

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That's why there are so many tokens on exchanges, and the names are so similar, it's easy to get tricked.

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Is this lesson worth $8k? lol

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Saw a price difference and just aped in, without checking if they're even on the same chain.

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It always takes someone messing up like this to remind others—thanks for paying the tuition fee!

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There are so many stablecoin projects that you can't even tell them apart, I'm tired of it.

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The craziest part is realizing it halfway through the trade, timing was perfect.
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At the beginning of last year, I dipped my toes in with 10,000 yuan of spare cash. By the end of the year, when I checked my account—it had jumped straight to 1.8 million.
Don’t rush to accuse me of making up stories; I look at these numbers every day, more closely than my credit card bill. What’s even crazier is that around April, my account shrank to just 40,000. At that point, I seriously considered selling everything and walking away. The comeback wasn’t luck—it was from relentlessly studying and truly understanding the market cycles. Honestly, this approach is way easier to grasp than tho
BTC1.58%
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AlgoAlchemistvip:
40,000 to 1,800,000? Dude, that rollercoaster ride is seriously intense. I believe you not because of the numbers, but because the way you describe those ups and downs feels so real lol
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There’s a trader named Maji who recently put on a heart-stopping performance—he almost gave back $3.34 million in profits to the market.
Here’s what happened: this guy started with a $500,000 principal and kept adding to his long positions since ETH was at $2,840. He was rolling his positions aggressively, and at one point, his unrealized profit soared to $3.34 million!
Sounds tempting, right? But the devil is in the details.
As he kept rolling up his positions, his liquidation price also moved up to $3,000. In the middle of the night, ETH suddenly pulled back, the price broke down... Two liqu
ETH5.1%
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DataBartendervip:
Oh my gosh, this is just crazy. 3.34 million evaporated in an instant. Leverage really is playing with fire.
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Wow! Has the stablecoin market been on steroids lately? USDC and USDT, these two partners in crime, have been printing non-stop since late November like it’s a money-printing contest.
According to Lookonchain data, USDC has surged by 10 billion in the past month, with billions being pumped onto the chain at a time. USDT hasn’t been idle either—the total supply on CMC has been skyrocketing. With these two major “dollar faucets” turned on at the same time, who’s really behind this mad liquidity rush?
**Wall Street Money Flows into USDC**
This round of issuance, especially on the USDC side, has a
USDC0.01%
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SelfCustodyBrovip:
Everyone is betting that liquidity will last until the next bull market, but what about real collateral? This is just a game of musical chairs—no one knows who will be left holding the bag.
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On the surface, the Bank of Japan's interest rate moves look like their own monetary policy adjustments, but in reality, the impact on the crypto market is shockingly huge. Why? Because the yen carry trade that has fueled capital inflows into the crypto space for the past few years was effectively cut off by this rate hike. In the short term, we’ll see a combination of liquidity drying up, high-leverage liquidations, and market panic erupting all at once. But in the longer run, the post-panic lows may actually present an opportunity to get positioned—provided you can read the policy pace corre
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ETH5.1%
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WhaleWatchervip:
Japan’s move directly hit the crypto industry’s lifeline—arbitrage players are probably crying their eyes out.

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$4 to $5 trillion got wiped out by a single rate hike announcement; the wave of leveraged liquidations is truly wild.

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To put it simply, this is a liquidity turning point. How many other central banks will follow suit? It’s really hard to say.

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There are indeed opportunities to position at the bottom, but only if you survive until then. Those with 50x leverage might not make it.

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With this round of yen appreciation, the return of USD is basically a harvest festival for retail traders.

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How do those who used to live off interest rate differentials feel now? Profits dropped from 100% to 5% in an instant—what a sour feeling.

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That part about the death spiral was right on point: once more people start admitting defeat, no one can save the situation.

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The crypto industry really got totally upended by a single policy decision from the Bank of Japan. What does that say? The foundation just isn’t strong enough.
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The interest rate meeting is coming up next week, and at this point, the probability of a rate cut in December looks pretty high. The market has already started betting on whether there will be another cut in January, but at least before the meeting, we probably won't see any major volatility.
For those holding coins, you might consider gradually reducing your positions at higher levels over the next few days. After all, with the current market conditions, if the rate cut actually happens, there's a high chance we'll see another round of correction as usual. Of course, nobody wants to go throu
BTC1.58%
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LuckyBearDrawervip:
The expectation of an interest rate cut is basically just the prelude to another round of fleecing retail investors. I bet fifty cents they won't actually cut.
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Just tried contract trading for the first time, and I was almost scared into a heart attack by the numbers on my account.
Staring at those three positions—LINK, PNUT, ZEC—my unrealized loss shot straight to -30%, which meant $1,400 flashing red on the screen. My mind was filled with thoughts like “Should I cut my losses now?” “Will I get liquidated?” going back and forth.
The most frustrating part was that I opened 4 positions and 3 of them were losing—that hit rate is just unbelievable 😅
But...
Luckily, I was using a demo account, hahaha!
False alarm, but I really got to experience the psych
PNUT-0.93%
ZEC2.48%
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rugpull_ptsdvip:
Haha, that was a false alarm, thank goodness. If I really threw in $1400, that would hurt a lot.

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Contracts are all about psychological warfare. Practice on a demo account until you have a 70% win rate before using real money.

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Three losses and one break-even, that probability is wild. You should go buy a lottery ticket.

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Stop-loss sounds easy, but when you actually see a floating loss, your mind just freezes—at least that’s how I feel.

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How did you pick the combo of LINK, PNUT, and ZEC? That’s a bit quirky.

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If your mindset is already blowing up on a demo account, you’ll go crazy when real money is on the line.

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Thinking about a 50% win rate is too much—just focus on surviving and making your first profit.

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Bro, you definitely gained some experience this round. At least now you know your own level.
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Major recent development: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has approved a historic proposal—allowing regulated exchanges to directly launch spot Bitcoin trading.
This is the first time the CFTC has given the green light to spot Bitcoin. Previously, Bitcoin could only be traded over the counter or in gray areas, but now it can finally stand alongside established commodities like oil and wheat.
The underlying message is clear:
Washington is serious this time and wants to hang the “global crypto hub” sign on its own doorstep.
Institutional funds that were previously operating
BTC1.58%
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HappyToBeDumpedvip:
Damn, the US is finally dropping the act—Bitcoin is going mainstream.

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Wait, the big institutions have already been making a killing overseas, and now they're just handing out admission tickets? It's too late.

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Washington's move is clearly to make the US the crypto capital. No wonder they've been so active lately.

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Institutions coming in = retail investors left holding the bag? I think I'll wait and see for now.

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The green light is on, but that doesn't necessarily mean prices will go up—it all depends on how the institutions position themselves.
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This thing called Bitcoin has really been on a roller coaster ride since it was born.
Just take the three years from 2011 to 2013—there were three roller coaster rides in that period alone. The first time it shot up 100x, the second time 10x, and the third time 7x. Exciting enough for you?
The saying "a day in crypto is like a year in the stock market" isn't just made up. Think it's exaggerated? I suggest you take a look at the candlestick charts of digital currencies over the years—you'll realize this statement is actually pretty conservative.
Back when Bitcoin first started, it was $0.0025 e
BTC1.58%
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SmartContractPlumbervip:
These numbers might impress retail investors, but to be honest, a 3 million times growth curve like this inherently contains access control vulnerabilities—there were no security checks in the early stages, and anyone could participate.
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Attention! There’s something big happening at 11 PM tonight—the US Core PCE data will be released. This isn’t just any ordinary data; it’s the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve watches most closely. Every time it’s announced, the crypto market shakes.
Why is it so important? Simply put, the PCE data directly affects the Fed’s next move. If the data surges, it means inflation isn’t under control yet, so the Fed will most likely continue tightening—making the dollar stronger, money flowing into traditional markets, and crypto prices taking a hit. But if the data is moderate or even de
ETH5.1%
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AltcoinAnalystvip:
From the data, tonight is indeed a key moment, but honestly, expectations have already been fully priced in, so the volatility might not be as big as imagined.

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Historical data shows that when PCE exceeds expectations, institutional reactions are often delayed. Don’t rush to chase; staying calm and observant is the most important.

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Risk warning: Around the release of this type of macro data, the liquidation rate of high-leverage accounts usually rises 3-5 times. It’s not worth it.

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According to on-chain indicators, the amount of withdrawals by large holders has actually been declining these past two days, indicating that no one is truly panicking—it’s actually retail investors scaring themselves.

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It’s worth noting that even if the data is poor, the long-term fundamental logic of crypto hasn’t changed; short-term fluctuations are just noise.

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What I’m more interested in is whether the market’s reaction after the data release deviates from historical patterns—that’s where you can see the real sentiment.

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Just don’t use leverage, everything else is manageable. Preserving capital is always the top priority.
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This move on Ethereum around $3,500 is pretty interesting.
To put it simply: if the price actually breaks through $3,500, exchanges will automatically trigger a "major liquidation"—over $3 billion in short positions would be wiped out instantly.
Let's break this down:
**First, look at how thick this wall is.** $3,500 isn’t just a price number anymore, it’s more like a dividing line. On this side of the wall, there are $3 billion worth of short bets piled up, just waiting for the price to come up and get harvested. Once it breaks through, these positions will be forcibly closed—forced liquidati
ETH5.1%
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liquiditea_sippervip:
The 3500 level, to put it bluntly, is all about who dares to take on this 3 billion position. I'm staying out of it.
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How bad did the US dollar drop yesterday? It hit a five-week low!
This all started with three key data points. First, US employment data came in weak. Then, service sector inflation began to cool down. But most importantly—rumors came out from Trump’s side that the dovish Hassett might take the helm of the Fed. With these three things happening together, the market immediately picked up on the vibe: the probability of a rate cut in December shot up to 85%.
So what does this have to do with us? It’s a big deal.
When the dollar weakens, capital needs to find somewhere to go. Remember March 2020?
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CodeAuditQueenvip:
The groundwork for rate cut expectations is so obvious, the loopholes are as big as those in an unaudited contract.
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