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Global Macro and Geopolitics
• Middle East Situation
◦ Trump claims to have sunk multiple Iranian vessels, tensions escalate in Strait of Hormuz
◦ IEA and multiple countries release 4 billion barrels of oil reserves, oil prices surge and pullback (91→88)
• Federal Reserve Expectations
◦ Goldman Sachs and other institutions postpone rate cut predictions to September, full-year rate cut count reduced
◦ US dollar index strengthens in short-term, 10-year US Treasury yield rises to 4.3%+