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The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 88.4%, and the probability of a rate cut is 11.6%.
ChainCatcher news reports that, according to Jintian, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows an 88.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January, and an 11.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 40.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 55.4%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 4.3%.