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Bitcoin Falls Below $60K After 50% Retreat from October 2025 Peak; Grayscale Outlines Two Recovery Paths

Market Analysis Price Volatility Stocks

2026-06-29 05:21:47

BTC0.67%

According to Grayscale's latest research report released on June 29, Bitcoin has fallen over 50% from its October 2025 peak of approximately $125,000 to below $60,000. Grayscale views the decline as a cyclical pullback within Bitcoin's longer-term uptrend rather than a trend reversal. The firm attributes recent pressure to multiple factors: shifting Federal Reserve policy expectations toward rate hikes, uncertainty around the CLARITY Act's legislative prospects, and investor concerns over leveraged asset deleveraging and quantum computing risks. Grayscale outlined two scenarios for Bitcoin's recovery: in the base case, the CLARITY Act passes the Senate, leverage improves, and the Fed pauses rate hikes, potentially marking the cycle bottom; under a pessimistic scenario, the bill fails to pass this year and continued deleveraging amid sticky inflation could push prices further down. Grayscale remains constructive on public blockchain and digital assets over the next decade.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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