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Fed Unlikely to Raise Rates in July at 69.5% Probability; September Rate Hike Odds Rise to 46.9%

2026-06-28 21:59:37

According to CME Fed Watch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates steady in July stands at 69.5%, with a 30.5% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike.

For September, the probability of maintaining rates drops to 40.4%, while the chance of a 25-basis-point hike rises to 46.9%, with a 12.8% probability of a 50-basis-point cumulative increase.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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