ING Forecasts Canadian Dollar Won't Fall Below 1.40 USD/CAD on July 15

USDCAD-0.05%
According to ING, the Bank of Canada's threshold for a substantially hawkish stance is high, with the Dutch lender expecting no surprises in today's (July 15) policy meeting. Unless oil prices rebound to April-May levels, inflation prospects remain too modest to justify rate hikes, particularly given employment and economic risks tied to the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement). ING expects USD/CAD will not fall below 1.40 in coming months despite short-term support from BoC hawkish adjustments and rising oil prices.
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