According to Jin10, on June 25, Japan's Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae announced a 2.3 trillion dollar investment plan spanning 14 years through March 2041, triggering fresh concerns among bond strategists about Japanese government bond (JGB) market pressure.
The plan involves over 370 trillion yen in combined public and private investment. Strategists at major securities firms warned that expanded government borrowing could push up long-term bond yields. Masayuki Koguchi, executive fund manager at Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management, stated investors will focus on financing methods, noting the government will "likely issue bonds to finance the plan," potentially making the bond market "difficult to buy into." Shun Otani, chief strategist at Daiwa Securities, said the plan will have "a certain negative impact" on the JGB market, with uncertainty around whether investments will deliver expected growth pushing up risk premiums.