According to Macro Research Board, U.S. stocks and technology shares are showing bubble characteristics, with the research firm warning investors may face severe market tests in the next 6 to 12 months. Strategist Peter Perkins noted that investor sentiment indicators suggest capital markets have already priced in high optimism about economic prospects, with tech and semiconductor stocks facing a true test once central banks raise rates and bond yields climb higher.
Macro Research Board recommends adding exposure to emerging markets, Japan, and the eurozone while modestly reducing U.S. stock allocations. In multi-asset portfolios, the firm suggests increasing cash positions, maintaining neutral stock exposure, and reducing bond holdings in favor of shorter-duration securities like 2-year U.S. Treasuries over longer-term bonds.