Polymarket Debuts Six Prediction Markets on U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Terms by End-2026

According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket launched six prediction markets today (June 25) tracking potential terms of a U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement by December 31, 2026. The markets cover key nuclear and financial arrangements, including whether Iran would dilute enriched uranium, accept uranium enrichment caps at 5% or lower for over one year, surrender enriched uranium to non-Iranian entities, and implement enrichment moratoriums. Additional markets track establishment of non-Iran-led reconstruction funding mechanisms. Settlement will be based on official text of any formal diplomatic agreement signed by both parties. The prediction markets emerge as U.S.-Iran talks intensify around ceasefire, asset unfreezing, and Strait of Hormuz transit rules.
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