$5.2 trillion buried landmines: When Wall Street drains the last drop of blood, Bitcoin will take over the world's pricing.
The Federal Reserve cut the overnight interest rate by 25 bp, while simultaneously reducing the reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) balance to 420 billion – the lowest since 2021. The "fuel tank" of the money market is about to bottom out, and in December, the Treasury will draw at least 300 billion in liquidity during the refinancing season, leading the US stock and bond markets to face the "no buyers" shock for the first time. Historical patterns show that whenever t

The government is draining the dollar, while Bitcoin is poised at the "floodgate": is 88k a trap or a golden pit?
The U.S. government has entered the second month of its "shutdown", leaving global risk assets holding their breath. The crypto market is the first to suffer - Bitcoin has retraced over 20% from its October high, Ethereum has fallen below $3900, and a series of leveraged liquidations and ETF capital outflows have taken place. However, while Wall Street focuses on "how long will the shutdown last", seasoned digital asset investors are beginning to ask: After the shutdown ends, where

The end of the U.S. government shutdown may become the "super fuel" for the restart of the Bitcoin bull run: price predictions under the logic of liquidity release.
1. Liquidity Pump: The Financial Shock Mechanism of Government Shutdown
As of November 7, the U.S. federal government shutdown has lasted 38 days, setting a new historical record. The liquidity crisis triggered by this political deadlock is reshaping the landscape of the crypto market. The U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) has hoarded over $1 trillion in cash due to inability to spend, a figure that has increased by over 233% com

JPMorgan's breakthrough moment: encryption assets officially connect to the veins of TradFi
When the news broke that JPMorgan would accept Bitcoin and Ethereum as collateral for loans, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a historic turning point—this financial innovation led by Wall Street's top investment bank not only reshaped the credit system for digital assets but also signified a paradigm shift in global financial infrastructure. This is far from a simple business innovation; it is a formal endorsement of the value anchoring of crypto assets by TradFi.
I. Reconstruction of Financ

The Trump family goes all in: Can Ethereum usher in a "trillion-dollar new era"?
When former U.S. President Donald Trump boldly announced that "he would make America a Bitcoin superpower," his son Eric Trump's remarks were triggering a ripple effect in the cryptocurrency market. The second-in-command of the family recently predicted that "Ethereum will hit $8,000 to $10,000 within two months." This statement not only caused the price of ETH to rise by 5% but also pushed the deep integration of political power and blockchain technology to unprecedented heights. Can this crypto narrative end

Federal Reserve Policy Shift: Three Major Paths for Ordinary People to Seize the Last Wealth Opportunities of 2024
When the Federal Reserve announced the end of its three-year quantitative tightening (QT), the balance of global capital markets was undergoing a structural tilt. This policy shift not only marks the end of the tightening cycle but also heralds the beginning of a new era of liquidity expansion. For ordinary investors, this may be the most strategically significant window period in the past five years—key lies in how to accurately capture the direction of capital flows and lock in

Panic spreads in the global market: How does the U.S. government shutdown trigger systemic risks?
When the New York stock market evaporated $730 billion in market value on "Black Tuesday," this financial storm triggered by the U.S. government shutdown has swept the globe. The Tokyo Nikkei index plummeted nearly 5% in a single day, the Seoul Exchange urgently halted programmed trading, and Bitcoin fell below the critical support level of $100,000—how did what seemed like an isolated political event evolve into a global market crisis?
Fiscal Black Hole: The Truth Behind the $700 Billion Liquidit

Cryptocurrency Market's Freezing Point Moment: The Logic Behind the Big Dump and Survival Guide
In early November 2025, the cryptocurrency market faced a "Black Monday," with Bitcoin falling below $107,000 and Ethereum experiencing a single-day big dump of 9% to $3,500, resulting in over $1.2 billion in liquidations across the network. The root cause of the big dump was a DeFi security incident (such as the Balancer vulnerability) that exposed a crisis of trust in the industry, compounded by the Federal Reserve's hawkish shift, the strength of the dollar, and the resonance of global ma

Ethereum Market Depth Analysis: Games and Opportunities Under Ice Point Sentiment
1. Market Status: Structural Differentiation in a Downward Trend
Ethereum's recent trend resembles chronic blood loss, with prices continuing to decline in the absence of clear rebound signals, and market sentiment has plummeted to freezing point. Despite a significant short-term drop, on-chain data reveals a more complex market picture: exchange reserves have fallen to multi-year lows, long-term holders are quietly increasing their holdings, while the discreet positioning of institutional funds suggests a po

The encryption market has been wiped out by 500 million! BTC has fallen below 110,000, ETH has lost 3,700, who is secretly positioning?
As of November 3, 2025, the encryption market is experiencing a "de-leveraging" storm. The price of Bitcoin has fallen below the key psychological level of $110,000, currently trading around $107,000, while Ethereum has also dropped to $3,700. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the network has reached $489 million, with long positions accounting for over 80%, indicating that the market is undergoing structural adjustments rather than a c

U.S. Government Shutdown for 33 Days: How Political Stalemate Became the "Sword of Damocles" for the crypto market
As the U.S. federal government shutdown enters its 33rd day, this political crisis, triggered by a bipartisan tug-of-war, is quietly evolving into a systemic risk that affects the global financial markets. With only two days left until the record for the longest shutdown in history (35 days), this reality not only exposes the vulnerabilities of the U.S. governance system but also plunges the crypto market into an unprecedented vortex of uncertainty.
The Essence of Stalemate: The "

The On-Chain Financial Defense Battle Under the Fed's Interest Rate Cut Expectations: How AltLayer Restructures Market Survival Rules
When U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen signaled that "the decline in inflation should consider interest rate cuts," the market was like a lit powder keg—risk asset valuations were instantly reconstructed, the dollar index plummeted, and Bitcoin broke through the $62,000 mark. However, amidst this seemingly festive market, the real game is surging beneath the surface: the expectations of interest rate cuts bring not only a wealth effect but also a geometric ampl

The Fed's policy shift ignites a global asset frenzy: the games and opportunities under the liquidity feast.
When the Fed suddenly announced a shift in monetary policy at two in the morning, Wall Street traders erupted in excitement. This policy combination, interpreted by the market as a "financial nuclear bomb"—the expectation of interest rate cuts and a $1.5 trillion quantitative easing plan—is reshaping the rules of the game in global capital markets. This is the largest liquidity expansion since the financial crisis of 2008, now returning with a more aggressive stance.
The butterfly e

BlackRock Fintech: The "Fear Hedge" Logic Reconstruction of Gold and Encryption, $47 Billion Allocation Reveals Asset Management Giant's Strategic Shift
1. From "Currency Depreciation Plan" to "Fear Assets": Fink Reconstructs Hedging Logic
At the 8th Future Investment Initiative (FII) Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink redefined the investment value of gold and encryption assets with the core concept of "fear assets." "As countries continue to dilute purchasing power through quantitative easing, and as geopolitical conflicts and debt crises intensify, gold and encrypt

The US-China trade protocol has landed, why did the crypto market fall in reverse? Threefold logic reveals the "Favourable Information trap".
1. "Black Monday" after the official announcement of the trade protocol
On October 31, U.S. President Trump announced that China and the U.S. had reached a phased trade agreement, putting the "100% tariff on China" plan on hold and reducing the current 57% tariff to 47%, officially starting a one-year trade truce. This news was initially seen by the market as a "calming pill" for risk assets — after all, the tariff threat in mid-October had triggered a m

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision hides secrets: A survival guide for retail investors and a new logic for the cryptocurrency market game.
On the early morning of October 30, 2025, the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision was announced—the target range for the federal funds rate has been set at 3.75%-4%. Although this is a 25 basis point reduction from the previous range of 4.25%-4.5%, it is still higher than some market expectations of 3.75%. This seemingly "expected" operation actually conceals multiple signals and games, with the encryption market under short-t

Three signals behind the Fed's interest rate cuts: Is the crypto market entering a new era of "targeted easing"?
On the early morning of October 30, 2025, the Fed lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%. This "expected" move, however, concealed deeper implications. After the announcement, the crypto market did not experience a surge like in 2020; instead, it fell into a subtle game of "bulls calling for a feast and bears worrying about divergence." As researchers who have long tracked the effects of central bank policies on the linkage with digital assets, we

Gold price falls below 3950! Crypto circle is stunned: This safe haven is even stronger than Bitcoin?
To be honest, I was also taken aback by the gold movement today. That veteran Bitcoin player Pompliano is absolutely right – when gold falls, it's called a correction, but when Bitcoin falls, it's called a crash? The standards are just too different.
Gold has always been regarded as a "safe haven" in everyone's mind, much more stable than Bitcoin. But take a look recently, London gold just set a new high of $4381 last week, and within a few days, it fell nearly 10%, plummeting $400

Powell's Departure Storm Eve: Global Capital Shift and Opportunities for Breakthrough in the crypto market
1. Financial Signals Under Political Turmoil
On October 28, U.S. President Trump publicly questioned the leadership abilities of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and hinted that he would resign within months. This statement is akin to a "truce" in the financial markets, not only tearing open the veil of controversy over the independence of Federal Reserve policy but also releasing a strong signal that the global monetary cycle may be turning. The "anti-inflation war" led by Powell sinc

Fed's policy U-turn: End of quantitative tightening and a new era for the crypto market
In October 2025, the global financial market will face a critical turning point. The Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it will officially end the quantitative tightening (QT) policy initiated in 2022 at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in October. This decision not only marks the end of the Fed's three-year "deleveraging" cycle but is also viewed by the market as the starting point of a new round of liquidity easing. International investment banks like JPMorgan and Goldma