BUDDATRADER

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🛢🇮🇷 Iran said it would not negotiate with the US and vowed to continue defending itself, local media reported.
➣ Iran said it would end the war whenever it wanted, but only if its own conditions were met.
➣ Iran will soon release details of its response to the US offer and the conditions for ending the war.
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🛢🇮🇳 India bought about 60 million barrels of Russian oil in March and has already contracted about the same amount for delivery in April.
👀 The purchases are made at a premium of $5–$15 per barrel over the Brent benchmark. At current prices, this is more than $6.5 billion per month.
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👀Iran: Negotiations and a ceasefire with the US are impossible under current conditions.
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The Philippines received a shipment of Russian oil for the first time in five years – PhilStar.
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🗣 Trump: "You have 48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz."
🇮🇷 Iran: …
🗣 Trump: "You have 5 days to make a deal with us."
🇮🇷 Iran: …
🗣 Trump: "A month-long ceasefire?"
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Polymarket doesn't really believe in a quick truce between the US and Iran.
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🤔 The S&P 500 has closed below its 200-day moving average for four straight sessions, its longest streak since May.
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❗️🇮🇷#iran #geopolitics
NYT: US plans to seize Iran's Kharg Island with the 82nd Division
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Key Market Events Today:
🔎 What to Watch Out For:
🇺🇸 Current Account - 14:30
- Previous: -226.4 billion
- Expected: -211 billion
Speakers:
🇨🇭 SnB Quarterly Bulletin - 16:00
Indicators:
🇬🇧 PPI - 09:00
🇨🇭 ZEW Expectations - 10:00
🇪🇸 PPI - 10:00
🇩🇪 Business Expectations, Business Climate - 11:00
🇺🇸 MBA 30y Mortage Rate + Mortage Index - 13:00
🇺🇸 MBA Purchase Index - 13:00
🇺🇸 Export/Import Price Index - 15:30
Auctions:
🇺🇸 5y T-Note - 19:00
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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iranian officials told mediators that they have been fooled twice by Trump and do not want to be fooled again, - Axios.
🔎 During two previous rounds of talks with Iran, Trump gave the green light for surprise attacks while saying he wanted to make a deal.
👀 Talks between the US and Iran are scheduled for Thursday, while the US is deploying additional troops to the region.
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🔽$GLD (Gold ETF) has been down for 9 days in a row.
👀 It has never fallen for 10 days in a row in history.
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🔥 Latest UK Inflation
🇬🇧CPI
m/m = 0.4% (expect 0.4%/ previous -0.5%)
y/y = 3.0% (expect 3.0%/ previous 3.0%)
🇬🇧Core CPI
m/m = 0.6% (expect 0.5%/ previous -0.6%)
y/y = 3.2% (expect 3.1%/ previous 3.1%)
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🇺🇸🇮🇷THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION HAS ORDERED THE DELIVERY OF ABOUT 2,000 TROOPS FROM THE 82ND AIRBORNE DIVISION TO THE MIDDLE EAST. ⨯ [Bloomberg]
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➢ An additional 5,000 Marines are being deployed to the region.
❗️The troops could perform support missions or participate in potential operations, ranging from the capture of strategic assets (such as Kharg Island) to coastal control or nuclear materials.
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Bloomberg✅
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Trump claims Iran has agreed to permanently abandon its plans to acquire nuclear weapons.
"They agreed they would never have nuclear weapons. They agreed to that," Trump told reporters at the White House.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US and Iran could hold high-level talks as early as Thursday — Axios.
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❗️🇹🇷 TURKEY IS CONSIDERING USING $135 BILLION IN GOLD RESERVES TO DEFEND THE LIRA. ⨯ [Bloomberg]
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➢ Amid the crisis in Iran, the Central Bank may use part of its vast gold reserves – about $30 billion of the $135 billion are held at the Bank of England, ready for currency intervention.
💸 What's happening with the economy:
🤍Inflation is already 31.5% – one of the highest in the world.
🤍The Central Bank is selling foreign bonds, including US Treasuries ($16 billion in recent weeks).
🤍The cost of financing in lira has been raised
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Don't look for setups where you don't see them!
Yesterday's statement by Trump essentially broke the BTC structure a bit, and 70k is once again serving as a support zone, above which we continue to hold – even despite Iran's denial of negotiations.
Perhaps the markets are pricing in Trump's statement as a message that he wants the conflict to end.
But at the same time, two Marine brigades haven't been deployed, and they continue to move to the Middle East; they'll arrive just after the five-day ceasefire. And here the situation could similarly flip 180 degrees if a ground operation begins on K
BTC0.91%
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🇦🇺🇪🇺 Australia and the EU have signed a trade deal they have been working on for eight years, eliminating more than 99% of tariffs on EU goods, - Reuters.
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🇮🇷 Trump's war boosts Iran's economy
🔼 Oil revenues rise;
🔼 Sanctions ease;
🔼 Currency strengthens.
Make Iran Great Again, - DJT.
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🧱Gold bounced beautifully off the 200-day moving average.
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The last time it came this close to the 200-day (at the end of 2023), it then rose more than 100%.
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