1.7 Thought Analysis: The daily K-line arc bottom pattern has initially appeared, and the five consecutive days of bullish momentum have indeed boosted the bulls' morale. But don’t forget—how the previous rally was driven and how it was crushed by a series of bearish candles at midnight. The bulls and bears are engaging in repeated battles, which is a typical shakeout pattern with no mercy. In the morning, the rebound reached around 93,500, a zone that has been tested multiple times and is a strong resistance band. Several attempts to break through have failed, indicating heavy selling pressure above. The technical indicators are also not optimistic: MA7 and MA30 form a death cross downward, and the short-term trend remains under pressure; during the rebound, trading volume has continued to dwindle, with prices rising but volume not following suit, showing a clear divergence between price and volume; currently, the market is in a high zone, with floating profits accumulating, and any slight movement could trigger profit-taking and a sharp decline. The current rebound seems more like creating a better entry point for bears rather than signaling the start of a new major upward wave. Before new funds enter the market, it’s more important to stay cautious rather than blindly follow the trend in emotional trading. Bitcoin: around 93,000-93,600, with a downside target of 92,000-91,000. Altcoin: around 3,270-3,310, with a downside target of 3,200-3,100. #Gate2025年度报告 #比特币六连涨 #Meme币板块回暖

Crypto Daily Report 01.07: Institutional Capital Flows Resume, Retail Scenario Adoption and Technical Bottom Signals Emerge 1. Continuous Institutional Capital Inflows and Long-term Market Outlook Significant capital inflows into Bitcoin and mainstream crypto ETFs have recently occurred, driven by renewed institutional demand and improved market risk appetite. Meanwhile, Wall Street's influence on the crypto market has intensified, potentially altering the previous "parabolic" rally. Bitcoin ETFs attracted nearly $700 million in a single day, with Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and other ETFs rising in tandem, reflecting a resurgence of institutional confidence in cryptocurrencies. ProCap Chairman analyzed that Wall Street is integrating Bitcoin into traditional financial systems; early holders are exiting, and while a high compound annual growth rate of over 80% may not recur in the next decade, there is still potential to outperform stock indices. 2. Progress in Retail and Consumer Scenario Applications Walmart has launched Bitcoin and Ethereum trading features through its OnePay app, marking a tangible step in integrating cryptocurrencies into mainstream retail and consumer scenarios. Walmart allows consumers to trade Bitcoin and Ethereum via OnePay, promoting the use of cryptocurrencies in daily retail activities and accelerating digital asset liquidity and user habit formation. This move reflects traditional large enterprises' integration of crypto technology, further blurring the boundaries between traditional finance and the crypto economy. 3. Technical Indicators and Price Trend Analysis The Bitcoin short-term holder profit/loss ratio indicator shows signals of a historical bear market bottom. The current ratio has rebounded, indicating potential for significant upside. Historical data shows that when the profit-to-loss supply ratio of short-term holders drops to around 0.013, it often marks a bear market bottom (as in 2011, 2015, 2018, 2022). The current ratio has risen from a November low of 0.013 to 0.45. Historical patterns suggest that when this ratio approaches 1, Bitcoin prices tend to enter a sustained upward phase, leaving room for further expansion. 4. Market Volatility and Asset Correlation Performance Cryptocurrency prices have experienced a correction, showing correlation with traditional assets like US stocks and gold, with the market exhibiting a mix of risk-on and risk-off sentiments. Bitcoin has fallen from $95,000 to $92,500, down 1.3% in the past 24 hours, with XRP, Solana, and others also retracing. Meanwhile, US stocks have seen slight gains, gold has broken through $4,500, and silver surged 5%, indicating some correlation between crypto and traditional assets, with overall market dynamics influenced by multiple asset classes. 5. Miner Behavior and Capital Allocation Adjustments Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms sold Bitcoin to fund AI data center transformation, reflecting diversified use of mining proceeds. Riot sold 2,201 BTC in November 2025, raising approximately $200 million to support AI data center development. This move demonstrates miners' strategic adjustments amid market volatility, shifting from pure holding to investing in non-mining businesses to meet industry transformation needs. 6. Geopolitical and Market Rumor Impacts Rumors about Venezuela hiding Bitcoin reserves have sparked market discussion. Authorities warn to beware of false information, as short-term sentiment has been disturbed. Market rumors suggest the Venezuelan government may be hiding around $60 billion worth of Bitcoin reserves, which, if released into the market, could impact prices. QCP warns to remain cautious of unverified information. Although unconfirmed, the strategic significance of Bitcoin and potential supply shocks continue to influence short-term market sentiment.

#以太坊大户持仓变化 This principle must be understood clearly— as long as the analyst's suggested price levels are reliable, whether it's in the 4480-4490 range or pushing to 4500, the market will naturally develop accordingly. To put it simply, all you can do is wait patiently and avoid unnecessary fuss. What is meant to come will come, and the rhythm of $BTC at this stage, along with the follow-the-lead logic of $ETH and $XRP, can all be traced. Leave the task of timing trades to the market, and just watch the numbers fluctuate quietly. Keep a steady mindset, and half the battle is won.