Against the backdrop of sharp short-term fluctuations in Bitcoin prices, Litecoin (LTC) has recently shown a明显弱势表现. On December 18, Bitcoin briefly rebounded to $89,500 before quickly falling back to around $84,500, leading to a cooling of market sentiment. As a result, Litecoin dropped approximately 7.5% within just 5 hours, touching a low of $72.64, hitting a new stage low. Currently, the price has rebounded above $75, but the overall trend remains under pressure.
From a medium-term perspective, Litecoin has lost the long-term key support zone of $80–$84. Previously, this range was widely regarded as a bullish defense line, but over the past two weeks, buying momentum has continued to weaken, and bulls have failed to effectively hold their ground. Even with Litecoin being included in the Bitwise Top 10 Cryptocurrency Index ETF (BITW), it has not reversed its downward trend, indicating persistent market skepticism.
Analyzing volume and on-chain data, the fixed range volume distribution for 2025 shows that the high-value region for the year is around $120, while the low-value region is around $83. As the price breaks below this value zone, seller dominance becomes evident. The OBV indicator continues to decline, indicating that selling pressure still dominates the market. After breaking below $80, key support levels to watch are $73.4, $66.5, and $59.6 for the medium to long term.
In the short term, the liquidation heatmap shows that liquidity around $73 has been largely cleared, suggesting a potential technical rebound. If the rebound continues, the $82–$83 range may become a short-term “magnet zone,” but resistance in this area is relatively strong, making突破难度较大. Further above, the $88–$90 zone has accumulated significant short liquidations, but given the current market environment, the probability of reaching this zone is relatively low.
Overall trend judgment indicates that Litecoin’s overall structure remains bearish. The buying momentum on higher timeframes is insufficient, and rebounds are more likely to be viewed as shorting opportunities. For traders, if the price encounters resistance in the $80–$84 range during a retest, they should be alert to downside risks, with support targets at $66 and $59 respectively. Until the trend shows a clear reversal, maintaining a cautious and bearish outlook is the more prudent approach.
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