YouTuber Zach Rector believes XRP is approaching a major breakout due to extreme market conditions tied to the largest crypto options expiry in history
In his update, Rector noted that the crypto market is heading into the largest Bitcoin options expiry ever with more than $23 billion in notional value expiring. He explained that events of this size force prices into tight ranges as market makers attempt to extract maximum value from both long and short positions.
This dynamic has kept Bitcoin and major altcoins like XRP locked in frustrating consolidation for weeks. Once these contracts expire, that artificial pressure typically eases, opening the door for sharp directional moves
Furthermore, Rector noted that liquidity maps across major exchanges show more money to be made pushing XRP upward than downward. A move toward the $2.50 level would trigger heavier short liquidations than the long liquidations if the price briefly dips toward the $1.60–$1.70 zone.
Because of this imbalance, Rector warned traders to be prepared for a possible downside liquidity sweep. He added that any dip is unlikely to last long before a reversal.
Rector views XRP’s extended range since late November as a deliberate holding pattern ahead of options expiry. He noted that market makers have kept price trapped to maximize profits, not because XRP’s fundamentals have weakened.
A move back above $2.50, he said, would mean that the local bottom is in and that XRP is ready to trend higher into the new year. Notably, at press time, XRP is trading at $1.87, up 1.15% over the past day.
Beyond short-term price action, Rector highlighted record-setting ETF activity as a key structural tailwind. The U.S. ETF industry has seen historic inflows, and XRP ETFs have stood out within that trend.
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Moreover, XRP ETFs recorded one of the strongest inflows of the year, even as Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs experienced outflows. Rector sees this as evidence of growing institutional interest in XRP.
XRP ETF records## Why 2026 Could Be a Defining Year for XRP
Looking ahead, Rector argued that XRP is being accumulated below its perceived fundamental value. He pointed to expanding ETF adoption, institutional positioning, and an eventual liquidity expansion as reasons 2026 could deliver massive tailwinds for XRP.
In his view, the current weakness is more about positioning and pressure from derivatives than long-term fundamentals.
Rector said traders should watch closely for volatility around key downside levels near $1.60–$1.70 and resistance around $2.50. A brief sweep lower followed by a sharp recovery would align with his breakout thesis.
While he expects near-term turbulence, Rector maintains that XRP’s consolidation phase is nearing an end, and the asset may be setting up for a much stronger move as the market turns toward 2026.
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