Don’t Sell Your Altcoins at This Stage of the Cycle, Warns Crypto Veteran

CaptainAltcoin
BTC0,82%
SEI0,73%

Crypto trader Don, also known as DonWedge, is pushing back against the growing urge to give up on altcoins. His warning comes as charts show altcoins sitting at a point that has historically mattered more than it looks at first glance. At the center of his view is a long-term chart tracking the total crypto market cap excluding the top 10 assets. This metric is often used to gauge the health of the broader altcoin market without Bitcoin and a few large names skewing the data. What the Altcoin chart is showing The chart stretches back to 2018 and highlights a long descending structure. Altcoins have been making lower highs for years, compressing into a narrowing wedge. That compression is now reaching its final stage, with price squeezed into the tip of the pattern. This kind of structure usually signals that the market is running out of room. Volatility dries up, sentiment turns negative, and most participants lose interest.  That is exactly where the Altcoin chart sits now. The current reading is near 6.6%, a level that reflects how small altcoins have been pushed into a corner after years of underperformance. What stands out is the projected upside marked on the chart. If the wedge breaks upward, the move targets the 16% zone. That would represent a major shift in relative strength back toward altcoins, similar to what happened after previous long periods of compression.

Source: X/Don

Why Don says “do NOT sell” Altcoins here From Don’s perspective, this is not a moment of strength where profits should be locked in. It is a moment of exhaustion. Long-term downtrends often end when most traders feel tired, bored, or convinced nothing will change. Selling at this point means exiting after years of decline, just as the structure tightens and risk-to-reward starts to flip.  Historically, large altcoin rotations have started when dominance looks weak, not strong. By the time momentum feels obvious again, much of the move is already gone. _Read Also: _****Here’s the SEI Price If Enterprises Adopt Sei Market Infrastructure Grid Moreover, sentiment around altcoins is poor. Liquidity is thin, rallies fail quickly, and many traders have already rotated back to Bitcoin or stablecoins.  That emotional backdrop lines up with what the chart suggests: a late-stage compression rather than the start of a new collapse. This does not guarantee an immediate breakout. These phases can drag on longer than expected. But Don’s point is simple. Selling into compression, after a multi-year downtrend, has historically been the wrong side of the trade. However, the chart does not argue that every altcoin will win or that prices must explode tomorrow. It shows that the broader altcoin market is nearing a structural decision point. When markets reach this stage, the biggest mistake is often giving up too late. That is why Don’s message is so direct. In his view, this is the phase where patience matters more than prediction.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Matrixport: ETH Cumulative Pullback of 63% This Round, Options Gamma Hedging as Main Driver of Recent Rebound

Ethereum has declined 63% cumulatively in this cycle, reaching a low of $1,837, and is currently testing technical resistance levels. Price recovery is driven by options flow and gamma hedging, while fundamentals have not shown significant changes. ETF demand is recovering, but derivatives positioning continues to influence price action. Ethereum's movement has decoupled from traditional assets.

GateNews37m ago

Bitcoin Breaks Through $75,000, Options Market Provides Boost! Bitwise: Reaching $1 Million is Not a Dream

Bitcoin recently surged past $75,000, driven by options put closing positions. Experts warn that the bear market structure remains unchanged, but Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer is optimistic about institutional capital resilience and predicts the potential to reach $1 million in the future. The market should remain vigilant about potential pullback risks.

CryptoCity37m ago

GODS Rockets Past $0.04 — 24% Surge Sparks Excitement

GODS has surged 24.09% amidst market selling pressure, currently priced at $0.044914. Increased trading volume and speculative activity suggest a shift towards altcoins. Traders are monitoring key resistance and support levels for potential future movements.

Coinfomania59m ago

Huang Renxun's GTC Speech on "DLSS 5, NemoClaw" Ignites AI Coins: FET Surges 20%, NEAR, Worldcoin Hit Monthly Highs

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang emphasized the importance of AI agent infrastructure during his GTC conference keynote, leading to significant gains in related cryptocurrencies such as NEAR, FET, and WLD. Huang predicted that chip order backlogs will exceed 1 trillion dollars by 2027 and introduced an enhanced AI agent platform called "NemoClaw." Additionally, he mentioned that DLSS 5 will revolutionize computer graphics. Although the presentation did not directly mention cryptocurrencies, it left the market with high expectations regarding infrastructure opportunities.

動區BlockTempo1h ago

10x Research: Bitcoin's Current Rally May Be Driven by Massive Bearish Options Unwinding

Bitcoin's rise was primarily driven by put option sellers at the $55,000 and $60,000 levels, with traders closing positions forcing market makers to buy Bitcoin. The rally lacked bullish call buying, though Bitcoin broke through $76,000 today, pushing the crypto market higher.

GateNews1h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments