What did Vitalik's New Year outlook talk about, and what will Ethereum be like in 2030?

Written by: Blockchain Knight

Ethereum founder Vitalik posted on social media a review pointing out that by 2025, Ethereum has overcome the industry’s long-standing scalability trilemma and achieved a major technological breakthrough. However, the network needs to choose between chasing speculative trends and fulfilling its original mission as a “neutral world computer.”

He emphasized that the technological upgrades in 2025 are not the end but the foundation for resisting the centralized subscription-based internet.

V God declared that the era of the scalability trilemma (decentralization, security, and scalability being difficult to balance) has ended and has been implemented in actual running code.

The core support comes from two major technological upgrades: the PeerDAS mainnet has been activated, and ZK-EVM has reached production-level performance, with only security checks remaining.

The integration of these two makes Ethereum capable of decentralization, consensus, and high bandwidth, improving network processing capacity, reducing bottlenecks, and lowering the threshold for individual nodes without sacrificing decentralization design. This marks the successful conclusion of a decade-long technical challenge.

V God positions the upgraded Ethereum as a force to counter the centralization dilemmas of the modern digital economy, criticizing the current internet tools’ reliance on third-party intermediaries and proposing the “Unmaintained Test” standard. Even if original developers disappear, Ethereum applications should operate fraudlessly and censorship-free.

This requires the network and upper-layer applications to achieve global availability and true decentralization, eliminating vulnerabilities caused by reliance on centralized services.

V God also announced the roadmap until 2030:

• In 2026, technical adjustments will increase the gas supply cap and open ZK-EVM node operation;
• Between 2026-2028, gas prices will be readjusted, and payloads will be migrated to an efficient data storage solution called “blobs”;
• From 2027-2030, ZK-EVM will become the main method for block verification, significantly increasing gas limits and achieving a fundamental shift from replication models to zero-knowledge proof systems.

The long-term vision is “Distributed Modularization,” building power through decentralized block structures, reducing risks of centralization intervention, and ensuring fair access to the network for global users.

V God’s statements are not only a report on technological progress but also a philosophical correction: technology has eliminated the engineering excuses for centralization. The key moving forward is whether society will use this power to build a world computer through the “Unmaintained Test” rather than indulging in speculative cycles.