Attention! There’s something big happening at 11 PM tonight—the US Core PCE data will be released. This isn’t just any ordinary data; it’s the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve watches most closely. Every time it’s announced, the crypto market shakes.

Why is it so important? Simply put, the PCE data directly affects the Fed’s next move. If the data surges, it means inflation isn’t under control yet, so the Fed will most likely continue tightening—making the dollar stronger, money flowing into traditional markets, and crypto prices taking a hit. But if the data is moderate or even declines? That’s when things get interesting. Funds will likely flow back into digital assets, since as risk aversion eases, people get bold again.

How to handle it? Here are a few tips:

Don’t make rash moves before the data comes out. Adding positions, especially with leverage right now, is just looking for excitement. When the market is highly volatile, high leverage is a death sentence.

Don’t rush after the data is released either. First, see if price action matches the data—if the data is bad but prices hold strong, it’s likely just short-term sentiment at play and chasing the pump could get you trapped. If the data is good and prices rise too? You can follow with a small position, but don’t get greedy—locking in profits is always wise.

What’s the market sentiment now? Institutional forecasts and previous values aren’t too different, which means the expectations have mostly been priced in, and a huge swing isn’t particularly likely. But you know how it is—crypto is most afraid of surprises, black swans come out of nowhere.

In the long run, the underlying logic of crypto assets remains strong, and this kind of macro data is at most a short-term disturbance. Stay calm tonight and don’t let your emotions dictate your trading. The market will always be here; preserving your capital is the key. Mainstream coins like ETH are still worth watching for the long term.