2025-12-09 22:56:49

The market is about to face a major test again.

Today, over $4 billion worth of options contracts are set to expire—among them, Bitcoin options amount to $3.36 billion, with strike prices concentrated at $91,000; Ethereum options total $648 million, with a key level at $3,050. The expiration of options at this scale often triggers significant short-term volatility.

What’s even more concerning is the underlying trend signal. After reaching a historic high in 2025, Bitcoin turned into a loss position starting December 4, reminiscent of the market turning point in 2007. If cryptocurrencies continue to underperform before the end of the year, it could set off a chain reaction: the suppressed volatility in the stock market could be unleashed, and we might see a major mean reversion in 2026—Bitcoin retracing to $50,000, the S&P 500 dropping to 5,000 points, and safe-haven sentiment driving gold toward $5,000 per ounce.

History never repeats itself exactly, but it often rhymes. Will this time be an exception?

BTC-1.97%

ETH-3.35%

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BearMarketBarber

· 2h ago

Coming again with this? I've seen the story of $4 billion worth of options expiring and crashing the market too many times; 99% of the time it's just on paper and exaggerated. What truly matters is the signal on December 4th, when it shifted directly from a high to a loss, which is indeed a bit hard to hold. However, I don't quite agree with the analogy to 2007; that was a financial tsunami, a cycle rotation, with a different nature. A 50k correction? Someone has already mentioned it, but it just won't go down. Who knows?

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WalletInspector

· 12-10 11:55

Here we go again, a 4 billion big order pressing down. Can this wave hold? --- 91k Bitcoin options.. Really, every time they say it’s going to crash, and then? --- I can't keep the analogy with 2007. Can crypto be like the stock market? Wake up, brother. --- Bitcoin at 50k dollars, gold at 5k dollars? Alright, I’ll just take it as a story. --- This time is truly different, something feels off. --- Always shouting about a collapse, I’ve become numb long ago. Just watching the show. --- That 50k prediction... are you trying to make me laugh to death? --- The key is, who is dumping the market? That’s the real issue. --- I don’t quite buy into the rhyming logic of history, but it’s definitely something to watch out for. --- It’s just alarmist talk again, come on, keep buying.

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MetaverseLandlady

· 12-09 23:25

Oh my, it's this number again... Looks like I need to get ready.

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ChainSherlockGirl

· 12-09 23:24

$4 billion in options are expiring, with a $91K Bitcoin strike price... From my analysis, this is the whales testing the bottom line. That déjà vu from 2007 really hits hard, but that's just my personal speculation—maybe the bulls will pull a reversal again this time, since history loves to play tricks. If it really drops to $50,000... my wallet will be in trouble, and the bystanders' stories will get even more interesting.

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Blockwatcher9000

· 12-09 23:22

$4 billion in options dumped, this time it’s really about to explode. Hold onto your coins, brothers. --- The resistance at 91k feels like we're being targeted to death. --- Same old 2007 rhetoric... Every time they say history repeats itself, but what actually happens? --- 50k? I’d love to buy the dip, just depends how bad this drop gets. --- Hmm, why do these predictions always feel a bit late... --- Wait, $33.6 billion in Bitcoin options? That number is kind of insane. --- Go long or short? I’m a bit confused right now. --- What’s with the “history rhymes” thing—crypto never plays by the rules.

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StablecoinEnjoyer

· 12-09 23:02

I've become numb to things like 4 billion options expiring; it's going to drop again anyway. Sigh, are we really going back to 50k this time? My DCA plan is already prepared. That 2007 theory gets mentioned every year, but what actually happens... The 91k strike price feels like a sniper point for the bears—same old trick again. Gold at 5000? Instead of watching that, it’s better to get into stablecoins and avoid the risk for now.

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ImpermanentLossFan

· 12-09 23:00

$4 billion in options expiring, same old trick, market makers waiting to fleece the retail investors --- $91k Bitcoin strike price, I bet $5 it'll get smashed --- 2007 turning point? No, this time it's different, the crypto world has its own rules --- If $50k really comes, I'll buy the dip right away. History repeating itself? Well, let's just wait and see --- Every time they say it's a big test, and I can never escape being tested, haha --- Weak performance before the end of the year? That just means I have more room to operate again

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BanklessAtHeart

· 12-09 22:58

Here we go again, is it really going to dump this time? It feels like every time they say "big test," but then it bounces back again... Can the 91k level really hold?

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LoneValidator

· 12-09 22:57

4 billion options are expiring. Can we hold this wave? Feels like a shakeout is coming.

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