12.15 Early Morning BTC Forecast and Analysis

On Monday, global institutional funds are flowing back into the crypto market. After a sharp decline within the day, the oversold gap needs to be filled. The 88,000-89,000 range has accumulated a large amount of bottom-fishing funds. In the early morning, combined capital will push the price upward unilaterally, leaving no time for consolidation or shakeout. After the weekend, market trading sentiment shifts from cautious to active. Coupled with the intraday long lower shadow signal indicating a possible bottom, Monday early morning is a window of “trend continuation + emotional explosion.” The technical oscillation structure is broken by capital sentiment, forming a one-sided rebound.

Key Support: 88,500 (intraday low of 88,401.6 confirmed as the trend bottom; this level in early Monday is the “foundation” for the rebound, with a 0% probability of breaking below, serving as a trend initiation defensive position)
Backstop Support: 88,000 (only a psychological line; unlikely to be touched in early Monday; can serve as a risk control reference for extreme cases)
First Resistance: 90,000 (an integer threshold and the first target of the rebound; expected to be easily broken in early Monday with no significant pullback afterward)
Second Resistance: 92,000 (a phased top of the trend rebound; the limit high that can be reached in early Monday). The short-term trapped selling pressure above 90,000 has been largely released during the intraday decline. During the early morning rebound, selling pressure resistance weakens significantly. Once broken through, there’s no need for consolidation, and the price can directly advance toward 92,000.

Trading Recommendations:
Go long directly within the 88,500 - 89,000 range. Set stop-loss below 88,000. The first target is 90,000. After breaking through, continue holding for 91,000-92,000 without intermediate profit-taking. If the price breaks 90,000 with increased volume, consider light long positions in the 90,000-90,500 range, with targets of 91,500-92,000 and a stop-loss at 89,500.

Precautions:
Strictly place long stop-loss below 88,000; this level is the core trend defensive line. If broken, the unilateral rebound logic invalidates, and immediate exit is required. Set long entry stop-loss at 89,500. If the price pulls back to this level, it indicates a false breakout, and quick stop-loss is necessary to avoid a correction. Focus on long positions with strict stop-losses and firm holding; be cautious of false breakouts and sudden news. Reduce positions promptly if volume shrinks or negative news appears.