Marex launches a "principal-protected" binary options derivative based on existing prediction market products

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Mars Finance reported that on April 4, according to Bloomberg, global financial services platform Marex Group Plc issued the first bond-like note (bond-like note / structured note) globally whose payoff is linked to prediction market outcomes. Unlike traditional binary options contracts, the product’s specific terms are: if, one year later, Nvidia Corp. is still the world’s largest company by market capitalization, investors can receive a 7% coupon; if not, the principal is repaid in full (only losing potential interest, with no need to bear full principal risk). The report says the offering size for this note is about $10,000,000, which has been sold to Swiss institutional clients and is limited to regions outside the United States (for regulatory reasons). Marex can dynamically hedge risk through prediction market platforms such as Kalshi. The report notes that this is the latest attempt by Wall Street institutions to “securitize” the energy of prediction markets, providing a compliant, lower-risk entry route for traditional large funds.

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