AlphaExtract

Based on median returns across three presidential terms (2013-2025), year 2 has been the only consistently negative year dropping 69% on average. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin may face headwinds in Trump's second year. Comparing 2013+ and 2017+ below, even though 2013 was

Market Extremes - honestly, it's hard not to feel great about this one's performance so far. This system works incredibly well at identifying local-bottom entries, with the highlighted level as the entry zone. Excluding the April entry, four new buy signals were triggered in

Wondering why Gold has been on a tear? Global liquidity is expanding, it's really that simple.

Quick reminder that the size of your drawdown is almost always proportional to the size of your ego. Markets punish pride and reward process.

Global liquidity made a new ATH. As we move toward year-end, it's worth thinking about what could come next. The biggest positive liquidity shift in years already hit this month. But the second and likely more important catalyst is still ahead. Changes to the eSLR could free

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New indicator published on TradingView: - SMA MAD Trend Link below.

Great morning-coffee listen

The short answer is: it depends on the system and the instrument. We only use price-based SL for futures. Spot and HTF systems are handled differently. Most importantly, exits are rarely driven by a single indicator. Why take a one-dimensional approach when markets aren't, imo

Intra-week global liquidity has reached a new ATH while Bitcoin is on track to close the year in the red. A divergence of this magnitude last occurred in September 2024, when Bitcoin ultimately had no choice but to follow liquidity higher. Consider this a calm before the storm

Quick reminder that you owe proof only to yourself. Deliver on promises you make to yourself, and watch how everything starts turning in your favor. Enjoy the weekend, but make sure you put in some work too. God bless.

Market Extremes keeps giving juicy entries on $BTC, one after another. Pretty happy with the amount allocated for spot bags here.

Probable Range bands are narrowing while $BTC hovers around the lower band on the 3rd STD. In most cases, this precedes a sharp move in either direction. We out of the ranging price action soon? Asking for a friend.

Closing 2025 on a strong note. Genuinely proud of what we've built, the progress made, and the people whose paths we crossed along the way. Thank you to everyone for being here - we appreciate you.

If BTC closes this year red, it'll be a proper deviation from previous cycle 'standards.' Ever since 2015, we've seen three consecutive green years followed by a red year. Hopefully this helps you get the 'bull / bear' phase out of your head and just trade your systems, anon.

Liquidity Flow has been improving, driven primarily by an increase in credit liquidity. As a result, our liquidity-based fair value for Bitcoin has now moved above spot price - something we haven't really seen since late '24. Historically, when credit conditions ease, Bitcoin's

The worst thing you can do is let your extended family know about your trading career. First they'll say you've no real talent or skills and just lucky. Then they'll ask for financial help non-stop. They'll Never pack back. Always ask. Always come up with new excuses to

The Treasury's stealth QE is becoming less stealthy. The Fed is now buying bills, effectively allowing the Treasury to go full ATI mode. Whether you call it QE or not, the Fed is expanding its balance sheet again - before even considering political incentives for 2026. We've