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#密码资产动态追踪 1.7 Evening | Bitcoin Price Analysis and Trading Ideas
The recent trading logic has been quite rigid—buy the dip and sell at high levels.
Looking at today’s market performance, the bears are still in control. The strength of the rebounds is weakening wave after wave, and the underlying structure hasn’t changed much; it’s still the same old tune.
From a technical perspective:
On the 4-hour chart, the price has already broken through the mid-line support, and the overall trend is very weak, with room for further decline;
Various technical indicators are signaling contrary to each other
BTC-2,41%
ETH-2,08%
BNB-1,73%
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¯\_(ツ)_/¯vip:
Rebound and then crash, I’m familiar with this trick. Today I have to wait patiently for an opportunity again.

But can 92500 really hold up? It feels a bit uncertain.
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Look at the case of ETH rising from 10,000 to 200 million. What is the common factor behind it? Persistence. Every rebound in the crypto world gives birth to a batch of Meme coins, and their popularity often exceeds expectations. To be honest, most people's problem in the market is not finding good coins, but holding on to them. The volatility of the crypto market is inherently high; a 50% drop in price is normal. But it is precisely because of this volatility that wealth opportunities are created. Some people see a 20% decline and sell at a loss, only to miss out on the subsequent 300% increa
ETH-2,08%
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PebbleHandervip:
That's right, the key really is mindset; those who cut losses are always in the minority.
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Recently checked the market data, and the total market capitalization of the crypto market has climbed back to the 3.5T mark. Interestingly, Bitcoin's dominance has slipped from around 60% to about 57%, which actually indicates one thing — funds are flowing into altcoins.
The trading volume of ETH and SOL has recently increased by 15%. The revival of DeFi and the optimization of Layer-2 chains have likely played a significant role. But if you only look at on-chain data, it's too superficial. Changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations and global regulatory signals are also subtly influencin
BTC-2,41%
ETH-2,08%
SOL-1,86%
DEFI-2,96%
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MidnightSellervip:
I've seen the capital flow into altcoins coming a mile away; I'm just worried it will be another round of IQ tax harvesting.
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#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 【Unity of Knowledge and Action: How to Kill Your Trading Demon】⚔
Previously, I talked about six mental strategies that sound incredibly simple. But the problem is—why do so many people understand them yet still lose money?
The answer hits hard: your true enemy is not in the market, but in the mirror.
"Cut when it drops" — you say this aloud, but what happens at critical moments? Fear creeps in: "What if this is the bottom? If I cut now, I’ll lose big." Small losses are stubbornly turned into big ones. 🤯
"Hold when it rises" — everyone theoretically understands this, but w
BTC-2,41%
ETH-2,08%
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WhaleWatchervip:
That hits close to home; the biggest opponent is the one in the mirror. I've only come to understand this through repeatedly stumbling, and my shaky hands are still being treated.
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Recently, the Meme sector has been stirring up again. First, a major exchange launched the first Chinese spot trading for a certain cryptocurrency, which directly ignited the market, and many early birds made a good profit. However, what’s truly exciting are the new players on the Ethereum chain.
There is a project called Puppies that has been gaining a lot of attention lately, with the label "Little Puppy Concept." The market views it as a new generation interpretation of SHIB. Looking at the on-chain data, the capital volume is quite explosive, and big investors are quietly positioning thems
MEME-7,06%
ETH-2,08%
SHIB-5,43%
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digital_archaeologistvip:
Puppies this wave, it feels a bit like gambling... 30 to 100 times returns are tempting, but you also have to consider the risk of losing everything.

Early adopters definitely made a profit, but now the entry risk is at its peak. Large investors' strategies might not necessarily be good news.

I didn't get on the SHIB wave last time, and this time I need to be even more cautious... Is there any technical support?

Basically, it's just about the gambling atmosphere. Once the atmosphere dissipates, it's over.
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The Bitcoin premium index of a leading compliant platform recently experienced a "roller coaster" ride — it finally turned positive the day before yesterday, only to fall back into negative territory shortly after. Behind this unpredictable number actually reflects the true sentiment of players in the US crypto market.
The rebound last weekend looked promising, as the index took 22 days to return to the positive zone. Many market watchers were quite excited at the time, thinking the US crypto scene might be warming up again. But within two days of optimism, the index turned downward and has no
BTC-2,41%
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FromMinerToFarmervip:
It's the same old trick again. After a one-day rebound, they pop champagne, and then they get slapped in the face. American retail investors are really exhausted and scared.

Honestly, this index is less straightforward than just looking at the candlestick charts. Constantly watching these numbers go up and down only causes mental fatigue.

The signals of capital withdrawal are so obvious, yet some people still shout about bottom-fishing every day? I think it's just a collective illusion among the retail investors.

The premium indicator is just an emotional amplifier. When it's negative, everyone wants to run. This psychological game never ends.

It only turns positive once every 22 days, then drops again. This lousy index can't save the US crypto scene at all. Just play defense; there's no other choice anyway.
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Someone recently made an interesting prediction — 2026 will be the true year of finance going on-chain. From this perspective, stablecoins and Ethereum become the most core infrastructure.
How should this logic be understood? WLFI recently swapped BTC for ETH, which is essentially placing a bet on this idea. The underlying thinking is quite clear:
How large is the market space for stablecoins? According to estimates, it will reach hundreds of billions in the short term, trillions in the medium term, and in the long run, occupy a trillion-dollar scale within the global $3 trillion stablecoin ma
ETH-2,08%
WLFI-4,74%
BTC-2,41%
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GetRichLeekvip:
Here comes the story of 2026 again. I’ve always said that bringing finance on-chain is bound to happen sooner or later. I’ve already pre-positioned ETH long ago, just waiting for the wave of infrastructure dividends.
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#密码资产动态追踪 Clear signals are already visible in the spot market.
The opportunity for Chinese MEME coins in our domestic market truly seems to have arrived. Previously, English projects dominated entirely, but now there is a gradual emergence of locally themed MEME coins forming their own communities and narratives — this shift is worth paying attention to.
Most of those entering now are betting on the maturity of this track. How will it develop next? It depends on the community's execution and market acceptance. Anyway, the current landscape is indeed different from before.
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StableGeniusDegenvip:
Haha, you're right. Chinese MEME does have some substance. Finally, it's our turn.
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#2026年比特币价格展望 Look at the trend of these coins $BNB $XRP $SOL, the actions of whales in the contract market are becoming more and more obvious. The key is to judge whether the directions of the big players and whales can align — only when they align is it a true entry signal.
Whale operations are quite particular. They usually use iceberg strategies or DCA methods to enter the market gradually, in order to avoid crashing the market. When we follow the trades, we also need to learn this approach — never go all-in at once. It is recommended to divide the total position into 3 parts, and set a ke
BNB-1,73%
XRP-6,35%
SOL-1,86%
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LiquidityWitchvip:
nah the whale orchestration ritual is just astrology for degen traders tbh... but fr the iceberg strat hits different when the stars align with liquidation zones 🔮
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Recently, during project research, I came across an asset called BREV. The data looked good, and I conducted a full investment analysis—waiting for the airdrop pressure to ease and the potential selling wave from holders to pass, it theoretically presented a good short-term bottom-fishing opportunity. The odds were there, at least 20x.
But in the end, I didn't act.
As a result, the project surged 50% in 24 hours. Do I feel a bit regretful? Honestly, no. Instead, I have a faint sense of relief.
The reason is simple—every time I picked up my phone to place an order, the same question flashed in
BREV22,73%
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GasGoblinvip:
Intuition has saved me several times, but it also caused me to miss out on many 20x gains... Never mind, I don't want to think about it anymore.

There’s actually no real regret about that wave of BREV, but the 1200x oversubscription was even more disgusting. No matter how good the data is, it can't escape human nature.

I feel like the biggest enemy in this space is FOMO, not the project itself.
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In 48 BC, Caesar's army set fire to the Library of Alexandria. The place that held the essence of human civilization was instantly reduced to ashes. This catastrophe taught us a lesson: entrusting knowledge to a single-point system is like leaving history to chance.
Over two thousand years have passed, countless technological iterations have occurred, yet humanity has stumbled twice in the same place.
In the Web2 era, data was locked in the servers of a few internet giants. You could use it, but never own it. When company policies change, services shut down, or accounts are frozen—your data is
WAL-7,49%
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EyeOfTheTokenStormvip:
From a quantitative perspective, this is a classic complete cycle from "storage demand gap" to "token economic incentives"... But to be honest, will projects like Walrus survive until the day of truly large-scale application? Historical data shows that 99% of storage cases fail at the hurdle of "insufficient node incentives." Just a risk reminder to everyone.
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Financial freedom is not a dream; it is a goal that can be planned and achieved. I have previously written a series of reflections on financial freedom, and today I will consolidate them to hopefully provide some inspiration.
The complete path to financial freedom includes six steps: first, understand what true financial freedom means; then learn to avoid pitfalls, steadily accumulate wealth, and enjoy the power of compound interest. Next, examine your consumption habits—rational spending determines how much you can accumulate. The fourth step is about having the right to choose your life—once
BTC-2,41%
ETH-2,08%
DOGE-3,69%
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SorryRugPulledvip:
Speaking of this configuration approach, having Dogecoin account for 15% is indeed a bit... I thought I was the only one who was so optimistic about it.
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#数字资产行情上升 Bitcoin 1-hour chart hints: seemingly calm, but actually turbulent currents beneath
Having traded for many years, I’ve seen plenty of subtle signs of bull and bear reversals. The current hourly chart is playing out an invisible battle between bullish and bearish funds—don’t be fooled by the "dormant" appearance of Bollinger Band squeeze; the MACD DIF and DEA repeatedly approaching below the zero line often indicate the market’s silent accumulation before a move.
I analyze this situation from three perspectives:
**What can technical analysis reveal?** The price is firmly suppressed by
BTC-2,41%
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LiquiditySurfervip:
Retail investors are cutting losses, whales are eating up; this contrast is quite striking... Lazy to watch, but actually it's a game of liquidity depth.
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Since the election last November, the Trump family’s involvement in the crypto space has indeed attracted attention. These projects were launched gradually around the election period and collectively exploded after 2025. The estimated profits for the family range from hundreds of millions to tens of billions of dollars, but industry insiders believe the actual figures could far exceed expectations.
Careful examination of the distribution of these projects:
**WLFI + USD1** is the absolute highlight — this is a major official project combining a DeFi platform with a stablecoin, the largest in sc
TRUMP-3,18%
WLFI-4,74%
USD1-0,01%
MELANIA-3,16%
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GhostAddressHuntervip:
Hundreds of millions to billions? I think it's all about stablecoins. The WLFI combo punch is indeed impressive.

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No, $MELANIA's volatility is really not interesting. WLFI is more reliable.

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Is this all for the family crypto empire? Honestly, it's just meme-driven hype.

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The USD1 linkage with WLFI—I'll have to think about it. Should I get on board, everyone?

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Actual numbers far exceed expectations? That’s terrifying. The brothers are really tough.

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Once the election bonus is gone, it's over. Is there any remaining momentum? That's the question.

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$TRUMP is purely about brand effect. Meme coins are just like that.

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So many side projects, why bother? The core still depends on how long WLFI can hold up.
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Yesterday's big bullish candle indeed performed well, but to be honest, continuous rapid increases are inherently consuming the buying power. The issue is that the 94,000 level still remains a barrier that hasn't been truly broken yet, so it's premature to draw conclusions.
Next, the most worth watching is not so much whether it will go up or down, but rather the trend during the pullback. If the correction isn't significant and the trading volume also shrinks accordingly, it indicates that selling pressure is insufficient, and bulls still have a chance to push higher. However, if there is a s
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just_vibin_onchainvip:
94,000 is really a tough barrier to break through; claiming a reversal before breaking it is just nonsense.

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A sharp drop with increased volume will be over quickly, and we'll have to eat humble pie again. But it's really funny to talk about a bear market collapse right now.

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The recent rebound of altcoins is indeed fierce, but I'm still cautious; the risk is too high.

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Look at how the trading volume performs; that's the real indicator. Both rises and falls are just illusions.

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If 100,000 can't hold, don't talk about a reversal. I've learned my lesson.

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The bullish momentum is real; who can withstand such a continuous rise for so many days?

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Just waiting to see how the market reacts during the pullback—that's how we can judge the next move.
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It’s only been a few days since 2026 started, and the major players in the market haven’t been idle. MicroStrategy, a publicly listed company, invested a total of $116 million between New Year’s Day and January 4th, acquiring 1,283 Bitcoins at an average price of about $90,000 each. Now, its Bitcoin holdings have expanded to over 673,000 coins. At the current price of $93,000, this asset’s book value has already surpassed $12 billion, making for a spectacular start to the new year.
So the question is—where did this money come from? The strategy is quite clear: issuing stock to buy Bitcoin. Mic
BTC-2,41%
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AirdropHunter420vip:
MicroStrategy's move is brilliant—using the high-premium stock as a money-printing machine to aggressively accumulate coins. Do they have another 30 billion in ammunition? How confident must they be?
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#数字资产行情上升 Mainstream cryptocurrencies continue to strengthen, with $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB performing especially attention-grabbing. Market sentiment is clearly warming up, and many analysts are optimistic about Ethereum continuing upward, with a target of 8500 in the short term. Will this rebound continue? It depends on whether it can hold steady above key support levels. Currently, the coordination between Bitcoin and secondary coins is quite good, with trading volume gradually increasing. In the short term, focus on whether it can break through previous resistance levels, and in the medium te
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ETH-2,08%
BNB-1,73%
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GraphGuruvip:
Is Bitcoin about to take off again? The key is that the volume must keep up; otherwise, it will be a fleeting moment again.
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Ethereum should pay attention to the release of the non-farm payroll data tonight, as this type of economic data often moves the market. If you plan to buy the dip during this window, my advice is: don't rush to go all in. Managing your position size is crucial—the market changes rapidly, and it's common to encounter less-than-ideal entry points. What's the key? Having the capacity. When you find yourself stuck at a bad entry point, you can adjust by adding to your position to lower your average cost. This way, you can participate in the market while leaving room to maneuver. Remember, the bal
ETH-2,08%
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RooftopVIPvip:
Ha, it's the same old story. They all say the same thing when non-farm payrolls come out, but what’s the result?
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In this market, what really scares people isn't the direct liquidation, but the feeling of being high on your own success after making money.
I've personally fallen into this trap. Back then, my few hundred dollars doubled, and I was so excited I couldn't sleep all night, eager to put all my funds in. As a result, the next day I went all-in again, and my account was wiped out. That drop from heaven to hell is more heartbreaking than never having made a profit in the first place.
Later, my account gradually grew to tens of thousands of dollars. Do you know what the biggest change was? It wasn't
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SerumSquirtervip:
That was too intense. The feeling of going all-in and losing everything in one shot is truly unforgettable.
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Recently, UNI's rebound strength has indeed been a bit disappointing. Don't worry, this is actually quite normal — from a technical perspective, it's just a correction cycle.
Previously, positive news such as governance proposals passing and token buybacks gave a boost, and UNI did experience a surge. But the problem is, these positives have been mostly digested. The short-term upward momentum has been exhausted, and now it’s entering a consolidation phase, which is very reasonable.
To be honest, UNI has always had a concern — the token’s value support isn’t very clear. Even as the ecosystem e
UNI-6,45%
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LayoffMinervip:
Buybacks, to put it plainly, are just a stalling tactic.

To put it nicely, it's "improving the token economic model," but ultimately it depends on whether the subsequent ecosystem can truly boost trading volume. Instead of worrying about whether these positive signals have been absorbed, it's better to ask yourself how long you can hold your UNI.
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