GertVanLagen

$BTC / #GOLD is hitting the purple downtrend on RSI for 5th time in history.
🟠ccurrences:
+ Bear market bottom 2011
+ Bear market bottom 2015
+ Bear market bottom 2018
+ Bear market bottom 2022
+ Bear market bottom 2025 ?
Each time a higher low on BTC/GOLD was printed 🟠

$BTC [1h] - Wyckoff Accumulation in play on hourly chart.
The resistance at ±$90k got broken under increased volume --> Sign of Strength (SOS).
Currently the Resistance Lines are being retested for support.
Phase E starts once price blasts through the SOS price point.

$BTC is breaking the downtrend since Oct 28.
The $88k–$89k FVG acted as a key liquidity zone.

$BTC [2009–now] vs GOOGL [2004–2009]
$BTC is in the final blow-off wave of its first bull market since 2009, targeting ~$390k.
The depth of the subsequent correction is uncertain, but if it keeps mirroring GOOGL, a sub-2018 low is not unlikely, nor is a sub-2015 low.

Fair value gap $88-$89k is being filled.
Hidden Bullish Divergence between Nov-21, Dec-1 and Dec-5 lows.

#Bitcoin is echoing GOOGL’s pre–blow-off ’07: same Bollinger Bandwidth squeeze, same Elliott Wave rhythm.
When everyone is fixated on “diminishing returns,” this kind of tightening often precedes the opposite: a final expansion before bear market.
Ultra-bullish setup 🚀

2025 turns green again +

This setup is identical to GOOGL prior to its final blow off wave, right before the 2008 financial crisis.
A cascade of lower highs on the Bollinger Bandwidth, which gets broken to feed the subsequent bearish HTF volatility.

$BTC [1M] - Bollinger Band Width just dipped below 100 — flashing a rare green signal.
Historically, every time this triggers, Bitcoin follows with a direct parabolic leg up.
No red signal flashed in the previous months...

$BTC pre-halving sequence:
1 Red: Euphoria — blow-off to channel top
2 Green: Dead-cat bounce on the midline
3 Neon-green: Cycle bottom at the channel floor
This time, BTC has rejected the midline three times while holding higher lows on the 0.382.
Euphoria comes first at $390k. 🚀
#euphoriafirst

Accumulation Trend Score at highest level.
This is mainly seen during major impulses and during final parts of a correction.

Bitcoin balance on exchanges dropped 3 percentage points overnight 🤯 — a level of outflow never seen during bear markets and historically aligned with parabolic upside moves ONLY.
This pace is unprecedented, and suggests an unseen liquidity squeeze is forming. 🧨

Number of whale wallets is exploding at the fastest pace ever. Unseen in 2013 or 2016.
This is record-high accumulation.
When whales load up like this, the market doesn’t drift… it erupts. 🌋
Bear markets start only after significant distribution.
BLOW-OFF TOP inbound 🍌

#SP500 [2W] Update: The index has reached the Cup & Handle target drawn in 2023.
It is currently distributing along the 100-year yellow trend line, which connects the 1929 and 2000 tops—both of which were followed by major recessions.
With stocks highly overbought, gold blowing off and the yield spread beginning to widen after a prolonged inversion, conditions point toward a significant recession.