Sykodelicc

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This is a very important observation.
There are a large number of people trying to say we are in the same market position as the start of 2022...
And even though the chart pattern has it similarities for sure, it is important to understand the bigger picture.
In 2022(bottom chart) we can see Global liquidity was in a downtrend and not making new highs. Inflation was insane and QT was set to begin, along with interest rate hikes. In addition, volume was decreasing as the price moved higher.
This is textbook exhausted PA that has its lifeblood(liquidity) draining from its foundation.
Right now,
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The strength here on Bitcoin is staggering.
I can't find another time that the OBV has been this much ahead of price.
OBV is already back at the same levels it was when Bitcoin was at $115k.
For reference, in the April breakout, it was pretty much in line with price.
But right now, it is $20,000 in Bitcoin price ahead.
As I said, I can't see another time it has been this strong compared to price.
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What is the only thing that matters?
You should know by now.
Liquidity.
I think when a chart like ETH/BTC gets posted, most people don't understand that it follows a very strict pattern.
They think that it doesn't matter if its going up today... they think it could just reverse tomorrow and go all the way down again.
But that is not how it works.
Different charts follow different patterns, and ETH/BTC is one of the most important ones to understand when it comes to overall market position.
Ethereum is a risky asset and highly sensitive to liquidity.
And as we can see from this chart, ETH/BTC b
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There is at least 9 months left of this bull cycle.
That is according to global liquidity.
If you want to understand the fundamental difference between where we currently are now, and where we were at the end of 2021...
This is an important chart to digest.
We have GLI(Global liquidity index) at the top, and the Russell 2000 at the bottom.
I like to view the Russell as a proxy for a hybrid of Bitcoin and Ethereum, together.
All three of the Russell, Bitcoin and Eth, are all highly sensitive to Global liquidity, and have been throughout every cycle.
So what are we looking at here?
We can see t
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The macro has not looked more bullish in YEARS.
And over the last few days we have had...
SPX - Down
Russell - Up
Bitcoin - Up
This not a bear market for anyone still clinging onto that.
And for everyone that mocks the rotation... well, here it is.
Liquidity is starting to make its way down the risk curve and Russell and BTC are at the higher level.
Bitcoin is essentially a liquidity pressure valve that soaks up liquidity as it begins to infiltrate the markets.
There is still time for you to understand the overall macroeconomic environment and change your bias so you can get positioned...
But
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This has been a decent push from Bitcoin.
However, we need to pay attention to levels now more than ever.
We currently have $16bn in long liquidations down to $86k... that is a lot.
There is a high enough chance that the market makers will take it, so we have to entertain that outcome.
And in an ideal world, we want them to take it before we move too much higher, because there will always be a chance they will go back for it.
We have broken 96k which is a great start.
If we can get above $100k and the 50SMA then both downside scenarios are invalidated...
But the whole time we are below $100k,
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Alts are preparing to go on a very big move here.
Every time this cycle OTHERS has broken above the 1D 50SMA after a downtrend and held it, it has led to:
1. 267% move
2. 125% move
3. 58% move
Everything is lining up for overall market expansion very soon.
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Every single sign you need is there.
Every single chart that matters is signalling to you the underlying liquidity shift and overall economic position.
And it all points one way.... up
Right now we have COPPER making new highs and entering price discovery.
COPPER performs best in periods just preceding and during economic expansion because it is the main metal used in all forms of infrastructure and development.
Which happen to be during times of liquidity expansion.
And as you can see, TOTAL3(alts), move in a very close lock step pattern with it.
That is not a coincidence guys.
Crypto is alwa
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We are looking good here for a solid bounce on $ETH.
$ETH is looking much stronger than $BTC currently, and we observe this in the way in which ETH/BTC is also moving.
DSS Bressert 1W coiling for expansion whilst we are about to close the week above 50SMA.
If we see further weakness in BTC that could drag $ETH down a bit, but it's only going to be temporary.
$ETH is prepping for new highs.
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There are many out there grave dancing on alts right now.
And that's expected.
Alts have been dominated by Bitcoin for years in a liquidity strapped environment.
But this is how the emotional curve of investing ruins people.
Let me explain...
You have Asset A at the highs, and asset B at the lows.
Owners of asset A are euphoric, and they victory lap their own asset and grave dance on Asset B to make themselves feel superior.
Owners of Asset B are sad and emotional, and seeing all of the FUD about their asset and the green candles of Asset A.... they capitulate ad chase, hungry to get a win.
Se
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Let me lay this out for your as clear as I can.
Liquidity leads, it always has.
And there is one massive fundamental difference between right now and previous cycles.
When liquidity breaks higher, it typically does it for an average of around 550 days.
Right now, it has been 250 days.
I don't know who still needs to hear this but cycles are about liquidity, not time.
We can see here that every single cycle...
Liquidity leads, breaks higher, then $IWM follows, and $ETH follows after.
Then when liquidity ranges, so do $IWM and $ETH.
This is because both $IWM and $ETH follow liquidity.
And right
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You just need to chill out.
I see so many stressing over the next 2% move Bitcoin makes and changing their bias.
Get it into your mind that we can sweep the lows at $80k, and it is fine.
Yeh, your alts will drop a bit, but are you selling them?
No.
So whether they drop a bit for a week, it doesn't matter.
I cannot tell you when the low of this reversal will be, but I feel as If I can very confidently say that this is the bottoming zone.
I have shared countless pieces of data that show why I believe this, and I have high conviction in the data.
Right now, Bitcoin is compressing above the 1D 50S
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Eyeing a BTC long here.
Close the daily within the range and ill be targeting the previous daily candle high at $93,600.
Solid reaction from $89,200 where the 1D 50SMA and 4h 100/200SMA were all sitting.
There is also no wick on the top of the candle, and they usually get swept.
Using @breakoutprop
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Even more.
$1.5tn military budget increase
$100k for Greenlanders
$200bn in mortgage bonds
This. Train. Won’t. Stop.
You have to understand that it cannot.
They have to print, they have to stimulate, they have to run hot.
The other option is default and America goes bankrupt.
They will not.
And the more they print, the more they have to.
This is terrible for everything long term, but short term, it’s great for our bags.
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Bitcoin is showing great relative strength.
When looking at price action we have to look further than just what the candles are doing imo.
Right now we have:
- Relative strength double buy signal and continuation
- 1D OBV breakout
- Above 1D 50SMA
Alone, data points are good, but together, with confluence, they are great.
I still favour continuation higher here, based on the above.
We also have increasing liquidity, increasing capital multiplier through the system, and positive momentum in equities.
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I'm very excited for this.
One of my main goals in 2026 is become a much better trader.
And I'm gonna be using @breakoutprop for this.
I've made a partnership with these guys as it made perfect sense.
Let me tell you why fam.
Trading is a very hard game and it is so easy to lose all your money. In fact, 95% of people actually just lose money.
Breakout is a prop firm, so essentially you trade with their money instead of your own, and they take a % of the profits.
The reason why I like this product so much and decided to partner with them is because one, I want to focus on trading a lot more...
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$ETH has so much higher to go.
Every single piece of data I put forward to all lines up at the same place.
Higher.
And it is all about the overall macro liquidity position that the market is in.
The macro signals it and the charts confirm it.
The Russell 2000(small cap stocks) and $ETH have always moved in a close, lock-step pattern, because they are vessels of liquidity.
They represent the riskiest areas of risk asset, and therefore, require positive liquidity environments to truly find their feet.
You have to view this chart and ask yourself, where does it look like we are?
Does this look li
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You have to be prepared for all scenarios.
Right now there is a lot of argument on the timeline about whats going to happen next with Bitcoin.
I am 90% of the belief that the bottom has been put in here, but depending on what happens around these $94k - $96k levels will depend on how this bottoming process plays out.
Break above $96k and we see $100k - $106k next.
Reject hard below $96k and we should be prepared for the sweep.
Ultimately though, imo, the long term outcome is the same
But failing to prepare for different scenarios is preparing to fail overall.
What do you think happens next?
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We are at a macro Crypto bottom.
It's not even my opinion, it is just what the data says.
Here we have BTC/GOLD, currently at oversold bear market bottom levels.
We can clearly see that Bitcoins cycle lows are marked by BTC/GOLD cycle lows... and Bitcoins cycle highs are marked by BTC/GOLD cycle highs.
Each peak is also market by overbought RSI.
This chart right here, without doubt, proves that this cycle has been different.
Never before has Bitcoin behaved in the way in which we see on this chart for this cycle.
And this all lines up with my overall liquidity analysis being the main reason f
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