TMtrade

📊 BTC + ETH | Analysis (Feb 2)
💰 BTC (Bitcoin)
Liquidity below $80,000 has been swept, and we have seen a reaction from the lower order block. The price remains range-bound.
* 🔺 Resistance: $80,000
* 🔽 Support: $75,000 – $74,700
* 🚛 Outlook: $75,000 → $80,000
> ❗️ Risk Note: Losing the $74,000 level would intensify the bearish trend. However, holding this zone provides a solid chance for a reversal to the upside.
>
💰 ETH (Ethereum)
Ethereum is currently trading within a large imbalance zone; a clear directional trend has not yet been established.
* 🔺 Breakout above $2,560: Potentia

🗓️ KEY EVENTS CALENDAR: WEEK OF FEBRUARY 2
Monday, February 2
* 🔥 USA – Federal Budget Vote (Government shutdown risk) – All Day
* 🇺🇸 USA – White House Summit on Crypto Market Structure Bill – All Day
* 🇺🇸 USA – S&P Manufacturing PMI (Jan) – 17:45
* 🔥 USA – ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan) – 18:00
Tuesday, February 3
* 🔥 USA – JOLTS Job Openings (Dec) – 18:00
Wednesday, February 4
* 🇺🇸 USA – ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jan) – 16:15
* 🇺🇸 USA – S&P Global Services / Composite PMI (Jan) – 17:45
* 🔥 USA – ISM Services PMI (Jan) – 18:00
Thursday, February 5
* 🇪🇺 EU – ECB Inter

🏛️ Fed Chair Appointment & Market Impact
Cryptocurrency prices are currently reacting directly to the news of Kevin Warsh's nomination as the new Chair of the Federal Reserve. The market saw a sharp downturn, with Bitcoin dropping below the $78,000 mark and total liquidations exceeding $2.5 billion.
📉 Why the Market is Reacting
The primary driver is Warsh’s reputation as a monetary policy hawk. Historically, he has been a vocal proponent of:
* Higher real interest rates to combat long-term inflation.
* Tightening liquidity and reducing the Fed's massive balance sheet.
* Opposition to "Eas

🌍 Geopolitical Impact Analysis
Rising tensions between Iran and the U.S. are exerting significant pressure on cryptocurrency markets. In recent days, the decline of Bitcoin and other assets has been closely tied to a global "risk-off" sentiment driven by macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
📉 Key Recent Events
The market's caution has been fueled by specific developments, most notably the U.S. sanctions (OFAC) imposed on two UK-registered crypto exchanges (Zedcex and Zedxion) allegedly linked to the Iranian financial system.
* Market Reaction: These headlines have triggered a capital fli

## 📈 Market Analysis
DOGE has fluctuated between **0.10 and 0.12 USDT** over the **past 4 days**, dropping by about **6.5%**. RSI fell to **25.9**, indicating extreme oversold, and trading volumes slightly decreased from the average. The rebound lacks momentum and the overall trend remains sideways.
## 🧐 Market Sentiment
- The overall crypto market sentiment is **extreme fear** (**Crypto Fear & Greed Index 14**), with risk appetite very low.
- Recent KOL opinions show a **18:7** bullish-to-bearish ratio, with bulls slightly ahead but most voices remain cautious.
## ✨ Key Points to Watch
- **

📊 Key Takeaways
In the near future, the cryptocurrency market stands at a turning point characterized by pronounced investor caution and high volatility. Expectations of consolidation and corrections prevail, especially following recent sharp price surges.
📈 Vital Data
* BTC: Currently trading at 78,426 USDT (Daily gain: +1.48%)
* ETH: Currently trading at 2,328.6 USDT (Daily change: +0.26%)
* Fear & Greed Index: 14 ("Extreme Fear" — indicating high market tension)
💡 Professional Analysis
1. Technical Outlook
* BTC: On the daily chart, the RSI is heavily overbought, and the MACD suggest

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