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wajahatmughal
An $875m airdrop
At current pre-market prices - $LIT from @Lighter_xyz is going to be around $3.5b FDV
25% airdrop would be an 875m dollar airdrop.
Based on points, I believe this is around $60-70 per point.
On the HL Pre-Market
- OI is increasing, now at $38m, crushing it compared to MEGA + FOGO
- Volume steady around $6-10m in daily volume
At current pre-market prices - $LIT from @Lighter_xyz is going to be around $3.5b FDV
25% airdrop would be an 875m dollar airdrop.
Based on points, I believe this is around $60-70 per point.
On the HL Pre-Market
- OI is increasing, now at $38m, crushing it compared to MEGA + FOGO
- Volume steady around $6-10m in daily volume
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Some BIG bids in the $LIT pre-market orderbook
@Lighter_xyz currently trading at $3.42
= 3.42b FDV, would give it approx $600m MC on launch
@Lighter_xyz currently trading at $3.42
= 3.42b FDV, would give it approx $600m MC on launch
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Will $LIT be one of the biggest airdrops in crypto history?
A fun thing I was just thinking about is how will @Lighter_xyz's $LIT compare to other airdrops we've had in the past.
I've taken ATH prices here since it was the easiest to find and judge:
$HYPE ended up with its 31% as $18b at peak prices
$UNI being $6b
$ARB being worth $2b in total at peak prices
Some other honourable mentions include dYdX ($2b), ENS ($1.8b), Blur ($700m), TIA ($700m)
So the question is:
With a 25% airdrop, how will $LIT compare?
In the graphic I highlight some examples. At current prices within the pre-market at
A fun thing I was just thinking about is how will @Lighter_xyz's $LIT compare to other airdrops we've had in the past.
I've taken ATH prices here since it was the easiest to find and judge:
$HYPE ended up with its 31% as $18b at peak prices
$UNI being $6b
$ARB being worth $2b in total at peak prices
Some other honourable mentions include dYdX ($2b), ENS ($1.8b), Blur ($700m), TIA ($700m)
So the question is:
With a 25% airdrop, how will $LIT compare?
In the graphic I highlight some examples. At current prices within the pre-market at
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Crypto 10 years ago
We've moved a long way over the last decade!
We've moved a long way over the last decade!
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Hyperliquid has a 6-7x multiple on @Lighter_xyz based on Revenue
So should $LIT be worth 6-7x times less?
Is it really that simple?
So should $LIT be worth 6-7x times less?
Is it really that simple?
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Things I'm excited for in 2026
- The continued growth of stablecoins outside of USDC and USDT
- The growth of non-USD stablecoins onchain within DeFi including CHF, GBP, EURO and others
- Perpification of everything including new stocks, indices, ETFs, more commodities + others
- Tokenised equities onchain in DeFi
- Composable trading markets
- New protocols to farm with some juicy airdrops!
- Novel newer derivative instruments
- New DeFi sectors to explode in growth including credit/undercollateralised money markets, shariah compliment DeFi products etc.
- Yield on non crypto assets in De
- The continued growth of stablecoins outside of USDC and USDT
- The growth of non-USD stablecoins onchain within DeFi including CHF, GBP, EURO and others
- Perpification of everything including new stocks, indices, ETFs, more commodities + others
- Tokenised equities onchain in DeFi
- Composable trading markets
- New protocols to farm with some juicy airdrops!
- Novel newer derivative instruments
- New DeFi sectors to explode in growth including credit/undercollateralised money markets, shariah compliment DeFi products etc.
- Yield on non crypto assets in De
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gm
Just had a look at a bunch of old discord chats! Great memories, lots of old OG protocols with awesome communities
Need that feeling back
Just had a look at a bunch of old discord chats! Great memories, lots of old OG protocols with awesome communities
Need that feeling back
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DeFi is going to have a whole new narrative and sector next year.
Time to get positioned for it, I've seen 5+ asset issuers launch in recent weeks and it actually makes money!
A new ecosystem is brewing
Time to get positioned for it, I've seen 5+ asset issuers launch in recent weeks and it actually makes money!
A new ecosystem is brewing
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Perp markets will give amazing airdrops
@Lighter_xyz Polymarket odds for FDV after day 1 indicates it'll be somewhere between 2-4b FDV (of course this market also depends on it launching in 2025, which may or may not happen but that's why odds are lower than you might expect).
The interesting thing is when you look at fees, specifically revenue earned by Lighter.
Recently has been on track to do $200m+ in annualised revenue. With a 30x multiplier, that should be $6b approximately.
For reference, if we look at Hyperliquid, it currently trades at a 30x multiple to revenue - a couple of lower r
@Lighter_xyz Polymarket odds for FDV after day 1 indicates it'll be somewhere between 2-4b FDV (of course this market also depends on it launching in 2025, which may or may not happen but that's why odds are lower than you might expect).
The interesting thing is when you look at fees, specifically revenue earned by Lighter.
Recently has been on track to do $200m+ in annualised revenue. With a 30x multiplier, that should be $6b approximately.
For reference, if we look at Hyperliquid, it currently trades at a 30x multiple to revenue - a couple of lower r
HYPE-1,28%
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Just survive
Markets have been awful, really awful. I haven't seen general speculation sentiment this low since ever really. Perhaps recency bias speaking here but feels worse than last bear market. It's a dry dessert these days.
If there is one thing I think I've picked up in this industry though, it's that a good time will come back. An opportunity will reopen, so just survive. Stay alive until that comes in your plate. There will be a narrative we can all jump on again, of course it'll be different, it always is, but there will be something.
For me, what that means is just sitting in stab
Markets have been awful, really awful. I haven't seen general speculation sentiment this low since ever really. Perhaps recency bias speaking here but feels worse than last bear market. It's a dry dessert these days.
If there is one thing I think I've picked up in this industry though, it's that a good time will come back. An opportunity will reopen, so just survive. Stay alive until that comes in your plate. There will be a narrative we can all jump on again, of course it'll be different, it always is, but there will be something.
For me, what that means is just sitting in stab
BTC0,17%
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How are we feeling my bulla friends
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Things I am watching onchain right now:
It's winter, it's cold and so the my day is spent working with a warm hot chocolate on my desk. Below are some things to keep you occupied onchain whilst you can sip your warm cuppa!
Out with the old in with the new? - $HYPE staking
- Kinetiq TGE means some folks are looking for new places to speculate on with their HYPE.
- Interestingly, timing wise, @ValantisLabs just announced their points programme. Naturally I think a shift will occur as users look to farm, loop and speculate here as the next venue for HYPE staking.
A new onchain ponzi? @banditsd
It's winter, it's cold and so the my day is spent working with a warm hot chocolate on my desk. Below are some things to keep you occupied onchain whilst you can sip your warm cuppa!
Out with the old in with the new? - $HYPE staking
- Kinetiq TGE means some folks are looking for new places to speculate on with their HYPE.
- Interestingly, timing wise, @ValantisLabs just announced their points programme. Naturally I think a shift will occur as users look to farm, loop and speculate here as the next venue for HYPE staking.
A new onchain ponzi? @banditsd
HYPE-1,28%
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The yield basis team is one of my inspirations for how to ship product in DeFi
Within 2 months of launch they:
- Designed a totally new primitive solving a huge problem in DeFi today
- Shipped and scaled to 9 figures of TVL almost instantly
- Fixed errors and made improvements to the app week after week
- Handled contract migrations smoothly to an upgraded product
- Had a successful TGE for $YB
- Made 7 figures in revenue already, goes to the token
- Turned on the fee switch (today!)
It takes some teams an entire cycle to hit the landmarks this team has achieved in just 2 months. Guys are
Within 2 months of launch they:
- Designed a totally new primitive solving a huge problem in DeFi today
- Shipped and scaled to 9 figures of TVL almost instantly
- Fixed errors and made improvements to the app week after week
- Handled contract migrations smoothly to an upgraded product
- Had a successful TGE for $YB
- Made 7 figures in revenue already, goes to the token
- Turned on the fee switch (today!)
It takes some teams an entire cycle to hit the landmarks this team has achieved in just 2 months. Guys are
YB-0,17%
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When it feels scary to jump in.
That is exactly when you jump.
Otherwise you end up at the same place your whole life.
That is exactly when you jump.
Otherwise you end up at the same place your whole life.
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Pokemon gets all the attention
Which protocol is going to offer the best market for Yu-Gi-Oh?
I want to make this happen onchain
Which protocol is going to offer the best market for Yu-Gi-Oh?
I want to make this happen onchain
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Major lack of interest in DeFi these days with many in my circle
As a farmer, happy days since that means I can find better yields + less competition to farm
So many under rated farming opportunities and novel markets to play with right now
Some examples include:
@boros_fi
@tread_fi
@yieldbasis
@upshift_fi
@pear_protocol
@nadoHQ
@spreads_fi
Just keep clicking
As a farmer, happy days since that means I can find better yields + less competition to farm
So many under rated farming opportunities and novel markets to play with right now
Some examples include:
@boros_fi
@tread_fi
@yieldbasis
@upshift_fi
@pear_protocol
@nadoHQ
@spreads_fi
Just keep clicking
YB-0,17%
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